Redwood Trust Inc Stock Forecast
Green day on Thursday for Redwood Trust Inc
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)
The Redwood Trust Inc stock price gained 2.18% on the last trading day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024), rising from $5.51 to $5.63. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.54% from a day low at $5.51 to a day high of $5.65. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -8.01% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -77 thousand shares and in total, 760 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $4.28 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -14.66% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $4.66 and $5.32 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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RWT Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 2.55%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Redwood Trust Inc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $5.68 and $6.07. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Redwood Trust Inc stock
Redwood Trust Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $5.59 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.140 between high and low, or 2.54%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.62%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (RWT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect Redwood Trust Inc to open at $5.60, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $5.45 and $5.81, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.179 (+/-3.17%) up or down from last closing price. If Redwood Trust Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.35% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $5.59 (0.71%) than the resistance at $6.03 (7.10%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Redwood Trust Inc stock A Buy?
Redwood Trust Inc holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -3.577 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Redwood Trust Inc of Friday, April 19, 2024
| Fair opening price April 19, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $5.60 ( 0.592%) | $5.63 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for RWT
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 5.74 | 1.89 % | |
| R2 | 5.68 | 0.94 % | ||
| R1 | 5.65 | 0.358 % | ||
| Current price: | 5.63 | |||
| Support | S1 | 5.54 | -1.54 % | |
| S2 | 5.51 | -2.13 % | ||
| S3 | 5.46 | -3.08 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 6.19 | 9.95 % | |
| R2 | 6.14 | 9.06 % | ||
| R1 | 6.03 | 7.10 % | ||
| Current price | 5.63 | |||
| Support | S1 | 5.59 | -0.710% | |
| S2 | 5.51 | -2.13% | ||
| S3 | 5.49 | -2.49% |
RWT Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 07, 2024 | Mar 20, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | $0.160 | 2.51% |
| 2 | Dec 07, 2023 | Dec 19, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | $0.160 | 2.11% |
| 3 | Sep 12, 2023 | Sep 21, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $0.160 | 2.24% |
| 4 | Jun 13, 2023 | Jun 22, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | $0.160 | 2.51% |
| 5 | Mar 14, 2023 | Mar 23, 2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | $0.230 | 3.41% |
FAQ
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