AB Sagax (publ) Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
AB Sagax (publ) stock upgraded to Buy Candidate.
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
The AB Sagax (publ) stock price fell by -1.67% on the last day (Friday, 17th May 2024) from kr300.00 to kr295.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.63% from a day low at kr295.00 to a day high of kr299.80. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 6.5% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -110 thousand shares and in total, 208 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately kr61.49 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 15.34% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between kr314.33 and kr346.79 at the end of this 3-month period.
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SAGA-B.ST Signals & Forecast
The AB Sagax (publ) stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at kr291.54 and kr275.37. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, May 16, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.67%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for AB Sagax (publ) stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at kr277.00 and kr261.40. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, AB Sagax (publ) finds support just below today's level at kr277.00. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at kr261.40 and kr244.90.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved kr4.80 between high and low, or 1.63%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.09%.
Our recommended stop-loss: kr284.52 (-3.55%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 79 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 24 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (SAGA-B.ST) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect AB Sagax (publ) to open at kr296.60, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between kr287.95 and kr302.05, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-kr7.05 (+/-2.39%) up or down from last closing price. If AB Sagax (publ) takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.78% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at kr297.80 (0.95%) than the support at kr277.00 (6.10%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is AB Sagax (publ) stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for AB Sagax (publ) stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 3.556 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for AB Sagax (publ) of Monday, May 20, 2024
| Fair opening price May 20, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| kr296.60 ( 0.542%) | kr295.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SAGA-B.ST
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 301.40 | 2.17 % | |
| R2 | 299.57 | 1.55 % | ||
| R1 | 298.43 | 1.16 % | ||
| Current price: | 295.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 294.77 | -0.0792 % | |
| S2 | 293.63 | -0.463 % | ||
| S3 | 291.80 | -1.08 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
| R2 | 300.00 | 1.69 % | ||
| R1 | 297.80 | 0.95 % | ||
| Current price | 295.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 277.00 | -6.10% | |
| S2 | 261.40 | -11.39% | ||
| S3 | 244.90 | -16.98% |
SAGA-B Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 10, 2024 | May 10, 2024 | May 16, 2024 | kr3.10 | 1.03% |
| 2 | May 10, 2023 | May 10, 2023 | May 10, 2023 | kr2.70 | 1.23% |
| 3 | May 12, 2022 | May 12, 2022 | May 12, 2022 | kr2.15 | 0.94% |
| 4 | May 06, 2021 | May 06, 2021 | May 06, 2021 | kr1.65 | 0.769% |
| 5 | Nov 11, 2020 | Nov 11, 2020 | Nov 11, 2020 | kr0.650 | 0.408% |
FAQ
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