Saint-Gobain Sekurit India Limited Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Saint-Gobain Sekurit India Limited stock price ended at ₹135.85 on Friday, after losing 1.42%.
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The Saint-Gobain Sekurit India Limited stock price fell by -1.42% on the last day (Friday, 3rd May 2024) from ₹137.80 to ₹135.85. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.84% from a day low at ₹133.25 to a day high of ₹139.70. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 8.29% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -17 thousand shares and in total, 68 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately ₹9.20 million.
The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at ₹142.09 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -3.34% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ₹105.33 and ₹137.34 at the end of this 3-month period.
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SAINTGOBAIN.BO Signals & Forecast
The Saint-Gobain Sekurit India Limited stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately ₹137.04. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately ₹126.47. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 29, 2024, and so far it has fallen -4.57%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Saint-Gobain Sekurit India Limited stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at ₹118.60 and ₹117.75. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Saint-Gobain Sekurit India Limited finds support just below today's level at ₹118.60. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at ₹117.75 and ₹111.65.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved ₹6.45 between high and low, or 4.84%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.24%.
Our recommended stop-loss: ₹128.52 (-5.39%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (SAINTGOBAIN.BO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect Saint-Gobain Sekurit India Limited to open at ₹136.27, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ₹130.45 and ₹141.25, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-₹5.40 (+/-3.97%) up or down from last closing price. If Saint-Gobain Sekurit India Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.95% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at ₹137.95 (1.55%) than the support at ₹118.60 (12.70%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Saint-Gobain Sekurit India Limited stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 1.439 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Saint-Gobain Sekurit India Limited of Monday, May 6, 2024
| Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| ₹136.27 ( 0.307%) | ₹135.85 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SAINTGOBAIN.BO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 142.72 | 5.05 % | |
| R2 | 140.25 | 3.24 % | ||
| R1 | 138.73 | 2.12 % | ||
| Current price: | 135.85 | |||
| Support | S1 | 133.80 | -1.51 % | |
| S2 | 132.28 | -2.63 % | ||
| S3 | 129.82 | -4.44 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 142.35 | 4.78 % | |
| R2 | 140.35 | 3.31 % | ||
| R1 | 137.95 | 1.55 % | ||
| Current price | 135.85 | |||
| Support | S1 | 118.60 | -12.70% | |
| S2 | 117.75 | -13.32% | ||
| S3 | 111.65 | -17.81% |
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