Selvaag Bolig ASA Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Selvaag Bolig ASA stock downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Wednesday trading session.
(Updated on May 08, 2024)
The Selvaag Bolig ASA stock price fell by -0.274% on the last day (Wednesday, 8th May 2024) from kr36.45 to kr36.35. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.37% from a day low at kr35.65 to a day high of kr36.85. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.95% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 17 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 32 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately kr1.18 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 12.03% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between kr38.25 and kr45.25 at the end of this 3-month period.
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SBO.OL Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Selvaag Bolig ASA stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at kr36.46. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at kr35.25. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Selvaag Bolig ASA gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, April 29, 2024, and so far it has risen 7.86%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Selvaag Bolig ASA stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at kr33.00 and kr32.85. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Selvaag Bolig ASA finds support just below today's level at kr33.00. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at kr32.85 and kr31.50.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved kr1.20 between high and low, or 3.37%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.61%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (SBO.OL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 10th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 10th we expect Selvaag Bolig ASA to open at kr36.28, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between kr35.01 and kr37.69, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-kr1.34 (+/-3.70%) up or down from last closing price. If Selvaag Bolig ASA takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.39% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at kr36.60 (0.69%) than the support at kr33.00 (9.22%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Selvaag Bolig ASA stock A Buy?
Selvaag Bolig ASA holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.050 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Selvaag Bolig ASA of Friday, May 10, 2024
Fair opening price May 10, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
kr36.28 ( 0.183%) | kr36.35 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SBO.OL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 37.48 | 3.12 % | |
R2 | 37.02 | 1.86 % | ||
R1 | 36.74 | 1.08 % | ||
Current price: | 36.35 | |||
Support | S1 | 35.82 | -1.44 % | |
S2 | 35.54 | -2.22 % | ||
S3 | 35.08 | -3.48 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 38.70 | 6.46 % | |
R2 | 36.65 | 0.83 % | ||
R1 | 36.60 | 0.688 % | ||
Current price | 36.35 | |||
Support | S1 | 33.00 | -9.22% | |
S2 | 32.85 | -9.63% | ||
S3 | 31.50 | -13.34% |
SBO Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Apr 26, 2024 | Apr 26, 2024 | May 08, 2024 | kr1.00 | 2.78% |
2 | Aug 15, 2023 | Aug 15, 2023 | Aug 15, 2023 | kr1.00 | 3.05% |
3 | Apr 27, 2023 | Apr 27, 2023 | Apr 27, 2023 | kr2.00 | 5.56% |
4 | Aug 22, 2022 | Aug 22, 2022 | Aug 22, 2022 | kr2.00 | 4.58% |
5 | Apr 27, 2022 | Apr 27, 2022 | Apr 27, 2022 | kr3.00 | 6.51% |
FAQ
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