Scilex Holding Company Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Big movements in Scilex Holding Company stock price on Friday moving 37.01% between high and low
(Updated on Jun 28, 2024)
The Scilex Holding Company stock price gained 8.41% on the last trading day (Friday, 28th Jun 2024), rising from $0.415 to $0.450. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 37.01% from a day low at $0.373 to a day high of $0.511. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 32.32% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 31 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 94 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $42.11 thousand.
The stock lies in the upper part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $0.492 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 15.97% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $0.289 and $0.570 at the end of this 3-month period.
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SCLXW Signals & Forecast
The Scilex Holding Company stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $0.424 and $0.314. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Scilex Holding Company has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 17, 2024, and so far it has fallen -6.66%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Scilex Holding Company stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $0.415 and $0.380. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Scilex Holding Company finds support just below today's level at $0.415. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $0.380 and $0.350.
This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.138 between high and low, or 37.01%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 35.16%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $0.425 (-5.43%) (This stock has very high daily movements and this gives very high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 33 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (SCLXW) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 1st we expect Scilex Holding Company to open at $0.444, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $0.350 and $0.550, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.100 (+/-22.25%) up or down from last closing price. If Scilex Holding Company takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 44.49% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $0.450 (0.04%) than the support at $0.415 (7.76%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Scilex Holding Company stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Scilex Holding Company stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 3.976 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Scilex Holding Company of Monday, July 1, 2024
| Fair opening price July 1, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $0.444 ( 1.24%) | $0.450 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SCLXW
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 0.582 | 29.41% |
| R2 | 0.530 | 17.71% |
| R1 | 0.497 | 10.47% |
| Price | 0.450 | |
| S1 | 0.392 | -12.95% |
| S2 | 0.359 | -20.18% |
| S3 | 0.306 | -31.89% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 0.482 | 7.13% |
| R2 | 0.456 | 1.31% |
| R1 | 0.450 | 0.0445% |
| Price | 0.450 | |
| S1 | 0.415 | -7.76% |
| S2 | 0.380 | -15.54% |
| S3 | 0.350 | -22.20% |
FAQ
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