ProShares Short S&P500 ETF Forecast
ProShares Short S&P500 ETF price down 1.21% on Friday
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The ProShares Short S&P500 ETF price fell by -1.21% on the last day (Friday, 3rd May 2024) from $12.38 to $12.23. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.90% from a day low at $12.19 to a day high of $12.30. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.86% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 8 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 31 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $381.83 million.
The ETF is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect ProShares Short S&P500 ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $11.56 and $12.34 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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SH Signals & Forecast
The ProShares Short S&P500 ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $12.35. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $12.17. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has fallen -2.86%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for ProShares Short S&P500 ETF
ProShares Short S&P500 finds support from accumulated volume at $12.19 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.110 between high and low, or 0.90%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.22%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (SH) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect ProShares Short S&P500 to open at $12.24, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $12.07 and $12.39, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.156 (+/-1.28%) up or down from last closing price. If ProShares Short S&P500 takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.55% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $12.27 (0.33%) than the support at $12.19 (0.33%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is ProShares Short S&P500 ETF A Buy?
ProShares Short S&P500 holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.
Current score: -2.706 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for ProShares Short S&P500 of Monday, May 6, 2024
Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$12.24 ( 0.0818%) | $12.23 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SH
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 12.35 | 0.98 % | |
R2 | 12.31 | 0.638 % | ||
R1 | 12.28 | 0.425 % | ||
Current price: | 12.23 | |||
Support | S1 | 12.20 | -0.262 % | |
S2 | 12.17 | -0.474 % | ||
S3 | 12.13 | -0.82 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 12.49 | 2.13 % | |
R2 | 12.33 | 0.82 % | ||
R1 | 12.27 | 0.327 % | ||
Current price | 12.23 | |||
Support | S1 | 12.19 | -0.327% | |
S2 | 12.13 | -0.82% | ||
S3 | 11.99 | -1.96% |
SH Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 20, 2024 | Mar 20, 2024 | Mar 27, 2024 | $0.142 | 1.20% |
2 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 20, 2023 | $0.236 | 1.79% |
3 | Jan 06, 2023 | Sep 20, 2023 | Sep 27, 2023 | $0.165 | 1.14% |
4 | Jan 06, 2023 | Jun 21, 2023 | Jun 28, 2023 | $0.175 | 1.24% |
5 | Jan 06, 2023 | Mar 22, 2023 | Mar 29, 2023 | $0.122 | 0.798% |
FAQ
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