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Evaluation of ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND ISHARES ETF downgraded after the last trading session
(Updated on Jul 01, 2026)
The ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND ISHARES ETF price fell by -0.329% on the last day (Wednesday, 1st Jul 2026) from $82.11 to $81.84. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.0855% from a day low at $81.83 to a day high of $81.90. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.35% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 78 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $280.97 million.
The ETF is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND ISHARES ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $81.13 and $81.59 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners. Do note, that if the ETF price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
SHY Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND ISHARES ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $82.06 and $82.07. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, June 26, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.426%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND ISHARES ETF
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the ETF may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0700 between high and low, or 0.0855%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.0707%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (SHY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 2nd
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 2nd we expect ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND ETF ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND ETF to open at $81.86, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $81.78 and $81.90, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.115 (+/-0.14%) up or down from last closing price. If ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND ETF ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.14% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $82.09, some $0.250 (0.31%) from the current price of $81.84, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND ETF ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND ETF ETF A Buy?
ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND ISHARES holds several negative signals and is within a narrow and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-4.025
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 2, 2026 - $81.86 ( 0.0204%).
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SHY Performance
Trading levels for SHY
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 81.93 | 0.106% |
| R2 | 81.90 | 0.0732% |
| R1 | 81.88 | 0.0530% |
| Price | 81.84 | |
| S1 | 81.83 | -0.0123% |
| S2 | 81.81 | -0.0325% |
| S3 | 81.79 | -0.0652% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 82.48 | 0.782% |
| R2 | 82.15 | 0.379% |
| R1 | 82.09 | 0.305% |
| Price | 81.84 | |
| S1 | 0 | - |
| S2 | 0 | - |
| S3 | 0 | - |
SHY Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 29, 2026 | Jun 01, 2026 | Jun 04, 2026 | $0.243 | 0.296% |
| 2 | Apr 30, 2026 | May 01, 2026 | May 06, 2026 | $0.243 | 0.296% |
| 3 | Mar 31, 2026 | Apr 01, 2026 | Apr 07, 2026 | $0.247 | 0.300% |
| 4 | Feb 27, 2026 | Mar 02, 2026 | Mar 05, 2026 | $0.223 | 0.269% |
| 5 | Feb 02, 2026 | Feb 02, 2026 | Feb 05, 2026 | $0.250 | 0.302% |
FAQ
Click here for our free guide on how to buy ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND ETF ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND ETF ETF.
Buy SHY
A buy signal from a double bottom formation was found on Wednesday, June 17, 2026 and based on theory for this formation the price should go up by 0.170% to $81.98 within 8 trading days (Tuesday, June 30, 2026) since signal was issued.