Sirius XM Holdings Inc. Stock Forecast
Is Sirius XM Holdings Inc. stock still a buy after falling -7.26% on Tuesday?
(Updated on Apr 30, 2024)
The Sirius XM Holdings Inc. stock price fell by -7.26% on the last day (Tuesday, 30th Apr 2024) from $3.17 to $2.94. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 7.53% from a day low at $2.92 to a day high of $3.14. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -6.67% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 19 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 42 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $122.34 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -42.51% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $1.65 and $1.80 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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SIRI Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Sirius XM Holdings Inc. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $3.09 and $3.53. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 29, 2024, and so far it has fallen -7.26%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Sirius XM Holdings Inc. stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.220 between high and low, or 7.53%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.32%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (SIRI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 1st we expect Sirius XM Holdings Inc. to open at $3.00, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $2.82 and $3.06, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.125 (+/-4.24%) up or down from last closing price. If Sirius XM Holdings Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.48% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $3.02, some $0.0800 (2.72%) from the current price of $2.94, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Earnings coming up
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. will release earnings BMO on Tuesday, April 30, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.0600. We will update the financials statements for Sirius XM Holdings Inc., that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 6.04% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Sirius XM Holdings Inc. stock A Buy?
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.
Current score: -7.203 Strong Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Sirius XM Holdings Inc. of Wednesday, May 1, 2024
| Fair opening price May 1, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $3.00 ( 2.04%) | $2.94 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SIRI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 3.22 | 9.52 % | |
| R2 | 3.14 | 6.67 % | ||
| R1 | 3.08 | 4.90 % | ||
| Current price: | 2.94 | |||
| Support | S1 | 2.92 | -0.82 % | |
| S2 | 2.86 | -2.58 % | ||
| S3 | 2.78 | -5.44 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 3.34 | 13.61 % | |
| R2 | 3.16 | 7.48 % | ||
| R1 | 3.02 | 2.72 % | ||
| Current price | 2.94 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
SIRI Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 09, 2024 | May 09, 2024 | May 29, 2024 | $0.0266 | 0.90% |
| 2 | Jan 24, 2024 | Feb 08, 2024 | Feb 23, 2024 | $0.0266 | 0.559% |
| 3 | Oct 25, 2023 | Nov 06, 2023 | Nov 29, 2023 | $0.0300 | 0.638% |
| 4 | Jul 26, 2023 | Aug 07, 2023 | Aug 30, 2023 | $0.0242 | 0.528% |
| 5 | Apr 19, 2023 | May 04, 2023 | Aug 30, 2023 | $0.0240 | 0.524% |
FAQ
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