Silver Commodity Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Nov 10, 2025 Loss -1.87%

The Silver commodity price fell by -2.08% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $50.65 to $49.60. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the commodity fluctuated 0.537% from a day low at $49.33 to a day high of $49.60. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.59% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 443 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 4 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $174.23 thousand.

The commodity lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $48.64 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the commodity is expected to rise 29.11% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $62.79 and $74.63 at the end of this 3-month period.

SIUSD Signals & Forecast

The Silver commodity holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the commodity giving a positive forecast for the commodity. On further gains, the commodity will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $51.21. On a fall, the commodity will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $49.25. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, October 16, 2025, and so far it has fallen -6.94%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Silver gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The commodity had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, August 21, 2025 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Monday, May 05, 2025.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the commodity in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Silver commodity

Silver finds support from accumulated volume at $47.25 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This commodity has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the commodity moved $0.265 between high and low, or 0.537%. For the last week, the commodity has had daily average volatility of 0.91%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $47.68 (-3.85%) (This commodity has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 27 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (SIUSD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Silver to open at $49.51, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $49.00 and $50.19, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.18 (+/-2.41%) up or down from last closing price. If Silver takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.41% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $50.10 (1.03%) than the support at $47.25 (4.73%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Silver commodity A Buy?

Silver holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: 0.229 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $49.51 ( 0.178%).

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