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Weaker technical forecast for iShares Russell 2500 as ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jul 31, 2026)
The iShares Russell 2500 ETF price fell by -0.291% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from $89.35 to $89.09. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.42% from a day low at $88.45 to a day high of $89.72. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.64% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 183 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 410 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $36.52 million.
The ETF lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 5.27% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $92.14 and $98.23 at the end of this 3-month period.
SMMD Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The iShares Russell 2500 ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $89.29 and $89.93. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 30, 2026, and so far it has fallen -2.77%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, April 01, 2026 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, April 01, 2026 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for iShares Russell 2500 ETF
iShares Russell 2500 finds support from accumulated volume at $88.76 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.26 between high and low, or 1.42%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.31%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (SMMD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect iShares Russell 2500 ETF to open at $89.09, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $88.50 and $89.68, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.18 (+/-1.34%) up or down from last closing price. If iShares Russell 2500 ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.34% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $88.76 (0.37%) than the resistance at $89.64 (0.62%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is iShares Russell 2500 ETF ETF A Buy?
The iShares Russell 2500 ETF holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe iShares Russell 2500 will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-3.636
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $89.09 ( 0.0038%).
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SMMD Performance
Trading levels for SMMD
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 90.35 | 1.41% |
| R2 | 89.87 | 0.87% |
| R1 | 89.57 | 0.537% |
| Price | 89.09 | |
| S1 | 88.61 | -0.544% |
| S2 | 88.31 | -0.88% |
| S3 | 87.83 | -1.42% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 90.12 | 1.16% |
| R2 | 89.99 | 1.01% |
| R1 | 89.64 | 0.617% |
| Price | 89.09 | |
| S1 | 88.76 | -0.370% |
| S2 | 87.01 | -2.33% |
| S3 | 86.56 | -2.84% |
SMMD Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 15, 2026 | Jun 15, 2026 | Jun 18, 2026 | $0.244 | 0.270% |
| 2 | Mar 17, 2026 | Mar 17, 2026 | Mar 20, 2026 | $0.164 | 0.213% |
| 3 | Dec 16, 2025 | Dec 16, 2025 | Dec 19, 2025 | $0.302 | 0.403% |
| 4 | Jul 05, 2024 | Sep 16, 2025 | Sep 19, 2025 | $0.247 | 0.337% |
| 5 | Jun 16, 2025 | Jun 16, 2025 | Jun 20, 2025 | $0.218 | 0.330% |
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