SPDR(R) PORTFOLIO LONG TERM CORPORATE ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
SPDR(R) PORTFOLIO LONG TERM CORPORATE ETF downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The SPDR(R) PORTFOLIO LONG TERM CORPORATE ETF price gained 0.547% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024), rising from $21.93 to $22.05. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.363% from a day low at $22.03 to a day high of $22.11. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -1.56% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -426 thousand shares and in total, 320 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $7.06 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF lies in the middle of a narrow and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -4.78% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $20.74 and $21.78 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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SPLB Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.547%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The SPDR(R) PORTFOLIO LONG TERM CORPORATE ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $22.05 and $22.65. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for SPDR(R) PORTFOLIO LONG TERM CORPORATE ETF
SPDR(R) PORTFOLIO LONG TERM CORPORATE finds support from accumulated volume at $22.04 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0800 between high and low, or 0.363%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.737%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (SPLB) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect SPDR(R) PORTFOLIO LONG TERM CORPORATE BOND ETF to open at $22.06, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $21.84 and $22.26, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.211 (+/-0.95%) up or down from last closing price. If SPDR(R) PORTFOLIO LONG TERM CORPORATE BOND ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.91% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $22.04 (0.05%) than the resistance at $22.12 (0.32%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is SPDR(R) PORTFOLIO LONG TERM CORPORATE BOND ETF ETF A Buy?
SPDR(R) PORTFOLIO LONG TERM CORPORATE holds several negative signals and is within a narrow and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.754 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for SPDR(R) PORTFOLIO LONG TERM CORPORATE BOND ETF of Monday, April 29, 2024
| Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $22.06 ( 0.0605%) | $22.05 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SPLB
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 22.14 | 0.423 % | |
| R2 | 22.11 | 0.285 % | ||
| R1 | 22.09 | 0.199 % | ||
| Current price: | 22.05 | |||
| Support | S1 | 22.03 | -0.0781 % | |
| S2 | 22.01 | -0.164 % | ||
| S3 | 21.98 | -0.302 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 23.00 | 4.31 % | |
| R2 | 22.89 | 3.81 % | ||
| R1 | 22.12 | 0.317 % | ||
| Current price | 22.05 | |||
| Support | S1 | 22.04 | -0.0454% | |
| S2 | 22.03 | -0.0907% | ||
| S3 | 21.93 | -0.544% |
SPLB Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan 05, 2024 | Apr 01, 2024 | Apr 05, 2024 | $0.0957 | 0.423% |
| 2 | Jan 05, 2024 | Mar 01, 2024 | Mar 07, 2024 | $0.0958 | 0.412% |
| 3 | Jan 05, 2024 | Feb 01, 2024 | Feb 07, 2024 | $0.0951 | 0.410% |
| 4 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | $0.0910 | 0.385% |
| 5 | Dec 01, 2023 | Dec 01, 2023 | Dec 01, 2023 | $0.0950 | 0.419% |
FAQ
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