Spdr Portfolio S&p 500 Etf ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 17, 2025

The SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF price fell by -0.96% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $79.03 to $78.27. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.69% from a day low at $77.93 to a day high of $79.25. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -2.63% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 6 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 6 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $480.68 million.

Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 6.08% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $83.03 and $86.78 at the end of this 3-month period.

SPLG Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $79.46 and $79.12. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, October 29, 2025, and so far it has fallen -3.20%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF

SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 finds support from accumulated volume at $78.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.32 between high and low, or 1.69%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.27%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (SPLG) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF to open at $78.48, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $77.81 and $78.73, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.93 (+/-1.20%) up or down from last closing price. If SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.20% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $78.30 (0.04%) than the support at $78.00 (0.34%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF ETF A Buy?

The SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -2.134 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $78.48 ( 0.273%).

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