Invesco S&p 500 Minimum Variance Etf ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 17, 2025

The Invesco S&P 500 Minimum Variance ETF price fell by -0.82% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $49.76 to $49.35. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.25% from a day low at $49.26 to a day high of $49.87. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.54% loss for the last 2 weeks.

The ETF is at the lower part of a narrow and horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $49.17 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Invesco S&P 500 Minimum Variance ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $49.99 and $51.45 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETF seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETF turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

SPMV Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Invesco S&P 500 Minimum Variance ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $49.76 and $49.70. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, November 12, 2025, and so far it has fallen -1.77%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this ETF may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Invesco S&P 500 Minimum Variance ETF

Invesco S&P 500 Minimum Variance finds support from accumulated volume at $49.01 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF During the last day, the ETF moved $0.615 between high and low, or 1.25%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.90%

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (SPMV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Invesco S&P 500 Minimum Variance ETF to open at $49.49, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $49.14 and $49.56, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.417 (+/-0.85%) up or down from last closing price. If Invesco S&P 500 Minimum Variance ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.85% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $49.46 (0.22%) than the support at $49.01 (0.69%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Invesco S&P 500 Minimum Variance ETF ETF A Buy?

Invesco S&P 500 Minimum Variance holds several negative signals and is within a narrow and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -2.194 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $49.49 ( 0.287%).

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