Trico Bancshares Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 04, 2026 Gain 18.48%

The TriCo Bancshares stock price gained 11.99% on the last trading day (Monday, 13th Jul 2026), rising from $53.64 to $60.07. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 7.57% from a day low at $56.15 to a day high of $60.40. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 11.43% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 3 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $192.43 million.

The stock has broken the weak rising the short-term trend up and an even stronger rate of rising is indicated. For any reaction back there will now be support on the roof on the current trend broken at $55.51, a level that may pose a second chance to hit a runner.

TCBK Signals & Forecast

The TriCo Bancshares stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $54.54 and $52.25. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, July 08, 2026, and so far it has risen 14.57%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for TriCo Bancshares stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $53.91 and $53.25. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, TriCo Bancshares finds support just below today's level at $53.91. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $53.25 and $50.80.

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $4.25 (7.57%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.04%.

The TriCo Bancshares stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (79). Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but since the stock has broken the trend up, the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken.

Our recommended stop-loss: $58.02 (-3.42%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. The RSI14 is 79 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 3 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (TCBK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 14th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 14th we expect TriCo Bancshares to open at $58.88, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $59.32 and $60.82, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.50 (+/-2.54%) up or down from last closing price. If TriCo Bancshares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.54% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $53.91, some $6.16 (10.25%) from the current price of $60.07, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is TriCo Bancshares stock A Buy?

TriCo Bancshares holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 14, 2026 - $58.88 ( 1.99%).

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