Texas Community Bancshares Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 17, 2025

The Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. stock price fell by -1.31% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $16.00 to $15.79. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.200% from a day low at $15.78 to a day high of $15.81. The price has risen in 4 of the last 10 days but is still down by -0.69% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -2 thousand shares and in total, 5 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $85.14 thousand.

The stock is at the lower part of a horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $15.59 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $15.34 and $16.80 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stock seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stock turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

TCBS Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $15.92 and $16.05. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, September 19, 2025, and so far it has fallen -8.41%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. stock

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock During the last day, the stock moved $0.0316 between high and low, or 0.200%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.364%

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (TCBS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. to open at $15.79, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $15.71 and $15.87, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.165 (+/-1.05%) up or down from last closing price. If Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.05% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $15.91, some $0.120 (0.76%) from the current price of $15.79, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.

Is Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. stock A Buy?

Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -4.210 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $15.79 ( 0.0245%).

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