TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD Stock Forecast

TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)

TCTZF Signals & Forecast

The TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $41.72 and $38.63. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, April 15, 2024, and so far it has risen 16.66%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $38.76 and $35.55. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD finds support just below today's level at $38.76. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $35.55 and $34.80.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.390 between high and low, or 0.88%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.42%.

The TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (77). Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but since the stock has broken the trend up, the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken. Since the TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD has been rising for 7 days in a row, the risk over the next couple of days has increased. As we cannot be certain with regards to the size of the reaction, we urge caution.

Our recommended stop-loss: $42.91 (-3.46%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 77 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 9 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (TCTZF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD to open at $44.43, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $43.13 and $45.76, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.31 (+/-2.96%) up or down from last closing price. If TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.91% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $38.76, some $5.69 (12.80%) from the current price of $44.45, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD stock A Buy?

TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.

Predicted Opening Price for TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD of Monday, April 29, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.