Toronto Dominion Bank (the) Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Apr 07, 2026 Gain 17.28%

The Toronto Dominion Bank (The) stock price gained 1.24% on the last trading day (Thursday, 4th Jun 2026), rising from $112.36 to $113.75. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.70% from a day low at $112.65 to a day high of $114.56. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.81% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -972 thousand shares and in total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $134.73 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 22.88% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $132.64 and $146.58 at the end of this 3-month period.

TD Signals & Forecast

Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The Toronto Dominion Bank (The) stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $112.75 and $108.29. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, March 27, 2026, and so far it has risen 24.49%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Toronto Dominion Bank (The) stock

Toronto Dominion Bank (The) finds support from accumulated volume at $110.73 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $1.91 (1.70%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.15%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $110.16 (-3.16%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 47 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (TD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 5th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 5th we expect Toronto Dominion Bank (The) to open at $113.65, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $112.80 and $114.70, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.89 (+/-1.68%) up or down from last closing price. If Toronto Dominion Bank (The) takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.68% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $110.73, some $3.02 (2.65%) from the current price of $113.75, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Dividend Warning For TD

Dividend coming up for TD: Ex-dividend date (Friday 10th July, 2026) is 34 days away. The dividend is $0.81.

Is Toronto Dominion Bank (The) stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Toronto Dominion Bank (The) stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 4.694 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 5, 2026 - $113.65 ( 0.0850%).

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