Tellurian Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Big movements in Tellurian stock price on Thursday moving 14.18% between high and low
(Updated on May 02, 2024)
The Tellurian stock price fell by -3.86% on the last day (Thursday, 2nd May 2024) from $0.441 to $0.424. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 14.18% from a day low at $0.411 to a day high of $0.469. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 9.57% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -23 million shares and in total, 15 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $6.54 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -29.04% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $0.0276 and $0.557 at the end of this 3-month period.
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TELL Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Tellurian stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $0.446 and $0.547. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, March 11, 2024, and so far it has fallen -56.75%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Tellurian stock
Tellurian finds support from accumulated volume at $0.409 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.0582 between high and low, or 14.18%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 12.64%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (TELL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 3rd we expect Tellurian Inc. to open at $0.434, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $0.360 and $0.488, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0641 (+/-15.13%) up or down from last closing price. If Tellurian Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 30.27% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $0.409 (3.38%) than the resistance at $0.441 (4.01%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Tellurian Inc. stock A Buy?
Tellurian holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -5.879 Strong Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Tellurian Inc. of Friday, May 3, 2024
| Fair opening price May 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $0.434 ( 2.50%) | $0.424 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for TELL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0.493 | 16.24 % | |
| R2 | 0.470 | 10.99 % | ||
| R1 | 0.457 | 7.75 % | ||
| Current price: | 0.424 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0.412 | -2.75 % | |
| S2 | 0.398 | -5.99 % | ||
| S3 | 0.376 | -11.23 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0.507 | 19.73 % | |
| R2 | 0.477 | 12.67 % | ||
| R1 | 0.441 | 4.01 % | ||
| Current price | 0.424 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0.409 | -3.38% | |
| S2 | 0.385 | -9.13% | ||
| S3 | 0.360 | -15.01% |
FAQ
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