- Lower volatility than the market (beta -6.95)
- Bullish trend confirmed on both short and long timeframes
- Trading above its 200-day moving average
DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X ETF upgraded to Buy Candidate
(Updated on Jul 16, 2026)
The DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X ETF price gained 0.0251% on the last trading day (Thursday, 16th Jul 2026), rising from $39.85 to $39.86. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.59% from a day low at $39.86 to a day high of $40.50. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 5.28% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -114 thousand shares and in total, 352 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $14.02 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $36.09 and $42.60 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
TMV Signals & Forecast
The DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $39.75 and $38.24. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, July 13, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.747%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X ETF
DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X finds support from accumulated volume at $38.34 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.635 between high and low, or 1.59%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.32%.
The DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X ETF is extremely overbought on RSI14 (89). This increases the short-term risk substantially.
Our recommended stop-loss: $38.67 (-2.97%) (This ETF has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 89 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (TMV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 17th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 17th we expect DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X SHARES to open at $40.07, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $39.48 and $40.24, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.769 (+/-1.95%) up or down from last closing price. If DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X SHARES takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.95% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $40.38 (1.30%) than the support at $38.34 (3.81%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X SHARES ETF A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X ETF to perform well in the short-term period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.
Current score:
2.760
Buy Candidate
Upgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 17, 2026 - $40.07 ( 0.531%).
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TMV Performance
Trading levels for TMV
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 40.71 | 2.12% |
| R2 | 40.46 | 1.52% |
| R1 | 40.31 | 1.14% |
| Price | 39.86 | |
| S1 | 39.83 | -0.0775% |
| S2 | 39.68 | -0.453% |
| S3 | 39.44 | -1.06% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 41.33 | 3.69% |
| R2 | 40.81 | 2.38% |
| R1 | 40.38 | 1.30% |
| Price | 39.86 | |
| S1 | 38.34 | -3.81% |
| S2 | 37.75 | -5.29% |
| S3 | 37.06 | -7.02% |
TMV Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 23, 2026 | Jun 23, 2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | $0.241 | 0.646% |
| 2 | Mar 24, 2026 | Mar 24, 2026 | Mar 31, 2026 | $0.375 | 0.98% |
| 3 | Dec 23, 2025 | Dec 23, 2025 | Dec 31, 2025 | $0.116 | 0.323% |
| 4 | Sep 23, 2025 | Sep 23, 2025 | Sep 30, 2025 | $0.229 | 0.646% |
| 5 | Jun 24, 2025 | Jun 24, 2025 | Jul 01, 2025 | $0.283 | 0.771% |
FAQ
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