DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X ETF Forecast
DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X ETF price down 1.79% on Tuesday
(Updated on Jun 25, 2024)
The DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X ETF price fell by -1.79% on the last day (Tuesday, 25th Jun 2024) from $33.53 to $32.93. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.58% from a day low at $32.88 to a day high of $33.40. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -11.64% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -5 thousand shares and in total, 485 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $15.98 million.
The ETF lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -7.05% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $28.29 and $36.98 at the end of this 3-month period.
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TMV Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $33.48 and $36.27. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, April 25, 2024, and so far it has fallen -21.18%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X ETF
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the ETF may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.520 between high and low, or 1.58%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 2.22%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (TMV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 26th we expect DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X SHARES to open at $33.07, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $31.78 and $34.08, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.15 (+/-3.48%) up or down from last closing price. If DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X SHARES takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.96% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $35.34, some $2.41 (7.32%) from the current price of $32.93, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X SHARES ETF A Buy?
DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.
Current score: -3.973 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X SHARES of Wednesday, June 26, 2024
| Fair opening price June 26, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $33.07 ( 0.425%) | $32.93 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for TMV
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 33.59 | 2.00% |
| R2 | 33.39 | 1.40% |
| R1 | 33.27 | 1.03% |
| Price | 32.93 | |
| S1 | 32.87 | -0.178% |
| S2 | 32.75 | -0.551% |
| S3 | 32.55 | -1.15% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 38.68 | 17.46% |
| R2 | 38.17 | 15.91% |
| R1 | 35.34 | 7.32% |
| Price | 32.93 | |
| S1 | 0 | - |
| S2 | 0 | - |
| S3 | 0 | - |
TMV Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan 18, 2024 | Mar 19, 2024 | Mar 26, 2024 | $0.494 | 1.44% |
| 2 | Dec 21, 2023 | Dec 21, 2023 | Dec 21, 2023 | $0.270 | 0.91% |
| 3 | Mar 23, 2023 | Sep 19, 2023 | Sep 26, 2023 | $0.261 | 0.596% |
| 4 | Mar 23, 2023 | Jun 21, 2023 | Jun 28, 2023 | $1.26 | 4.46% |
| 5 | Mar 20, 2023 | Mar 21, 2023 | Mar 28, 2023 | $1.19 | 4.23% |
FAQ
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