Tokyo Electron Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Sep 12, 2025 Gain 37.42%

The Tokyo Electron Limited stock price gained 0.558% on the last trading day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025), rising from $103.98 to $104.56. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.30% from a day low at $104.00 to a day high of $107.43. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -6.14% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -36 thousand shares and in total, 6 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $610.00 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 72.60% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $180.48 and $199.46 at the end of this 3-month period.

TOELY Signals & Forecast

A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, November 10, 2025, and so far it has fallen -6.44%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not. Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Tokyo Electron Limited stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $107.83. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $102.07. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Tokyo Electron Limited stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $97.20 and $89.95. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Tokyo Electron Limited finds support just below today's level at $97.20. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $89.95 and $88.45.

This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $3.43 between high and low, or 3.30%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.05%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $98.86 (-5.45%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 5 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (TOELY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Tokyo Electron Limited to open at $105.33, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $102.55 and $106.57, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$4.02 (+/-3.92%) up or down from last closing price. If Tokyo Electron Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.92% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $110.43 (5.61%) than the support at $97.20 (7.04%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Tokyo Electron Limited stock A Buy?

Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period.

Current score: 2.098 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $105.33 ( 0.736%).

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