Türkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. Stock Forecast

Türkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Thursday trading session.
(Updated on May 02, 2024)

TUPRS.IS Signals & Forecast

The Türkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at TRY 193.40 and TRY 178.23. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 03, 2024, and so far it has risen 25.31%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Türkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at TRY 165.20 and TRY 162.80. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Türkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. finds support just below today's level at TRY 165.20. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at TRY 162.80 and TRY 160.60.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved TRY 7.50 between high and low, or 3.82%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.70%.

The Türkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (80). Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but since the stock has broken the trend up, the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken.

Our recommended stop-loss: TRY 197.06 (-3.40%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 80 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 16 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (TUPRS.IS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 3rd we expect Türkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. to open at TRY 201.50, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between TRY 197.82 and TRY 210.18, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-TRY 6.18 (+/-3.03%) up or down from last closing price. If Türkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.06% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ TRY 165.20, some TRY 38.80 (19.02%) from the current price of TRY 204.00, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is Türkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. stock A Buy?

Türkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.

Predicted Opening Price for Türkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. of Friday, May 3, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.