Tullow Oil plc Stock Forecast
High volatility in Tullow Oil plc stock price on Friday which ended trading at $0.213
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
The Tullow Oil plc stock price fell by -4.35% on the last day (Friday, 17th May 2024) from $0.223 to $0.213. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 14.85% from a day low at $0.213 to a day high of $0.245. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0.58% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 35 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 41 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $8.67 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 31.62% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $0.260 and $0.313 at the end of this 3-month period.
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TUWOY Signals & Forecast
The Tullow Oil plc stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $0.219. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $0.210. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, May 14, 2024, and so far it has fallen -9.19%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Tullow Oil plc gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Tullow Oil plc stock
Tullow Oil plc finds support from accumulated volume at $0.210 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.0317 between high and low, or 14.85%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 12.13%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $0.203 (-4.98%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 35 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (TUWOY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect Tullow Oil plc to open at $0.224, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $0.191 and $0.236, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0225 (+/-10.53%) up or down from last closing price. If Tullow Oil plc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 21.06% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $0.215 (0.79%) than the support at $0.210 (1.56%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Tullow Oil plc stock A Buy?
Tullow Oil plc holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.176 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Tullow Oil plc of Monday, May 20, 2024
Fair opening price May 20, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$0.224 ( 4.95%) | $0.213 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for TUWOY
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0.256 | 19.80 % | |
R2 | 0.243 | 14.13 % | ||
R1 | 0.236 | 10.62 % | ||
Current price: | 0.213 | |||
Support | S1 | 0.212 | -0.723 % | |
S2 | 0.204 | -4.23 % | ||
S3 | 0.192 | -9.90 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0.230 | 7.70 % | |
R2 | 0.220 | 3.13 % | ||
R1 | 0.215 | 0.788 % | ||
Current price | 0.213 | |||
Support | S1 | 0.210 | -1.56% | |
S2 | 0.183 | -14.21% | ||
S3 | 0.168 | -21.48% |
TUWOY Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Aug 29, 2019 | Aug 29, 2019 | Oct 21, 2019 | $0.0120 | 0.92% |
2 | Apr 04, 2019 | Apr 04, 2019 | Apr 04, 2019 | $0.0240 | 1.54% |
3 | Apr 25, 2017 | Apr 25, 2017 | Apr 25, 2017 | $0.360 | 25.54% |
4 | Aug 27, 2014 | Aug 27, 2014 | Aug 27, 2014 | $0.0340 | 0.716% |
5 | Apr 02, 2014 | Apr 02, 2014 | Apr 02, 2014 | $0.0670 | 1.33% |
FAQ
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