Ternium Sa Stock Forecast

Hold candidate since Jul 20, 2026

The Ternium SA stock price fell by -0.425% on the last day (Monday, 20th Jul 2026) from $44.70 to $44.51. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.58% from a day low at $44.07 to a day high of $45.21. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.9% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 115 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 356 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $15.85 million.

The stock is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Ternium SA stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $41.85 and $51.70 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

TX Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, July 01, 2026, and so far it has risen 7.12%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Ternium SA stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $44.61 and $46.01. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Ternium SA stock

Ternium SA finds support from accumulated volume at $42.89 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.14 between high and low, or 2.58%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.54%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $42.85 (-3.72%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 12 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (TX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 21st

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 21st we expect Ternium SA to open at $44.60, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $43.82 and $45.20, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.37 (+/-3.13%) up or down from last closing price. If Ternium SA takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.13% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $42.89 (3.64%) than the resistance at $48.42 (8.78%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Ternium SA stock A Buy?

Ternium SA holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.848 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 21, 2026 - $44.60 ( 0.191%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk