Should you buy TZA ETF?
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Based on market data through , StockInvest.us rates Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X ETF (TZA) as Hold/Accumulate with a technical score of 0.00 on its -10 to +10 scale. This is an upgrade from Strong Sell in the previous daily evaluation.
- Hold signal since
- Price since signal Flat 0.00%
- 3-month trend forecast Down 16.36%
- Easy Tracking In The Watchlist
Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X ETF upgraded from Strong Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Monday trading session
(Market data through Aug 10, 2026)
The Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X ETF price gained 1.57% on the last trading day (Monday, 10th Aug 2026), rising from $37.60 to $38.19. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.32% from a day low at $37.66 to a day high of $38.53. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -7.13% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 4 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 4 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $152.93 million.
The ETF lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -16.36% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $28.43 and $37.04 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the ETF price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
TZA Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, August 04, 2026, and so far it has risen 1.81%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $38.84 and $39.79. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X ETF
Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X finds support from accumulated volume at $37.90 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.88 between high and low, or 2.32%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 3.39%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $36.08 (-5.52%) (This ETF has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 4 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (TZA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 11th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 11th we expect Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X ETF to open at $38.13, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $37.31 and $39.07, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.77 (+/-4.74%) up or down from last closing price. If Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.74% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $37.90 (0.76%) than the resistance at $42.70 (11.81%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X ETF ETF A Buy?
Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Strong Sell to a Hold candidate.
Current score:
0.000
Hold/Accumulate
Upgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on August 11, 2026 - $38.13 ( 0.170%).
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TZA Performance
Trading levels for TZA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 39.00 | 2.12% |
| R2 | 38.67 | 1.25% |
| R1 | 38.46 | 0.705% |
| Price | 38.19 | |
| S1 | 37.79 | -1.05% |
| S2 | 37.58 | -1.59% |
| S3 | 37.25 | -2.46% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 47.10 | 23.33% |
| R2 | 45.80 | 19.93% |
| R1 | 42.70 | 11.81% |
| Price | 38.19 | |
| S1 | 37.90 | -0.759% |
| S2 | 37.60 | -1.54% |
| S3 | 37.51 | -1.78% |
TZA Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 23, 2026 | Jun 23, 2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | $0.0377 | 0.94% |
| 2 | Mar 24, 2026 | Mar 24, 2026 | Mar 31, 2026 | $0.0709 | 1.01% |
| 3 | Dec 23, 2025 | Dec 23, 2025 | Dec 31, 2025 | $0.0341 | 0.489% |
| 4 | Sep 23, 2025 | Sep 23, 2025 | Sep 30, 2025 | $0.0531 | 0.645% |
| 5 | Jun 24, 2025 | Jun 24, 2025 | Jul 01, 2025 | $0.0563 | 0.489% |
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