- Excellent financial health (Piotroski 8/9)
- 5.88% TTM dividend yield
- Lower volatility than the market (beta 0.36)
United Bancorp stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Monday trading session
(Updated on Jun 22, 2026)
The United Bancorp stock price gained 0.0625% on the last trading day (Monday, 22nd Jun 2026), rising from $15.99 to $16.00. It has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.07% from a day low at $15.68 to a day high of $16.00. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.63% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 10 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 19 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $301.09 thousand.
The stock lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $16.26 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -3.68% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $13.50 and $15.66 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
UBCP Signals & Forecast
The United Bancorp stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $15.67 and $15.58. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). United Bancorp has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 09, 2026, and so far it has fallen -2.08%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for United Bancorp stock
United Bancorp finds support from accumulated volume at $15.90 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.325 between high and low, or 2.07%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.88%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $15.29 (-4.46%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 8 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (UBCP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 23rd
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 23rd we expect United Bancorp to open at $15.89, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $15.74 and $16.26, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.530 (+/-3.37%) up or down from last closing price. If United Bancorp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.37% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $15.90 (0.62%) than the resistance at $16.22 (1.37%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is United Bancorp stock A Buy?
United Bancorp holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.
Current score:
0.131
Hold/Accumulate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 23, 2026 - $15.89 ( 0.677%).
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UBCP Performance
Trading levels for UBCP
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 16.22 | 1.35% |
| R2 | 16.09 | 0.578% |
| R1 | 16.02 | 0.0989% |
| Price | 16.00 | |
| S1 | 15.77 | -1.45% |
| S2 | 15.69 | -1.93% |
| S3 | 15.57 | -2.71% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 16.48 | 3.01% |
| R2 | 16.34 | 2.13% |
| R1 | 16.22 | 1.37% |
| Price | 16.00 | |
| S1 | 15.90 | -0.625% |
| S2 | 15.78 | -1.38% |
| S3 | 15.50 | -3.13% |
UBCP Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 22, 2026 | Jun 10, 2026 | Jun 19, 2026 | $0.195 | 1.20% |
| 2 | Feb 18, 2026 | Mar 10, 2026 | Mar 20, 2026 | $0.368 | 2.53% |
| 3 | Nov 20, 2025 | Dec 10, 2025 | Dec 19, 2025 | $0.190 | 1.44% |
| 4 | Aug 20, 2025 | Sep 10, 2025 | Sep 19, 2025 | $0.190 | 1.32% |
| 5 | Apr 16, 2025 | Jun 10, 2025 | Jun 20, 2025 | $0.185 | 1.37% |
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