Ubisoft Entertainment SA Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Stronger technical forecast for Ubisoft Entertainment SA stock price after Friday trading.
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The Ubisoft Entertainment SA stock price fell by -1.08% on the last day (Friday, 3rd May 2024) from 22.21€ to 21.97€. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.73% from a day low at 21.97€ to a day high of 22.57€. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.07% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -111 thousand shares and in total, 261 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately 5.73€ million.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.12% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between 17.61€ and 22.62€ at the end of this 3-month period.
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UBI.PA Signals & Forecast
The Ubisoft Entertainment SA stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at 21.96€ and 20.42€. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, May 02, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.08%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Ubisoft Entertainment SA stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at 19.42€ and 19.18€. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Ubisoft Entertainment SA finds support just below today's level at 19.42€. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at 19.18€ and 18.97€.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved 0.600€ between high and low, or 2.73%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.17%.
Our recommended stop-loss: 21.12€ (-3.89%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 76 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (UBI.PA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect Ubisoft Entertainment SA to open at 22.17€, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 21.39€ and 22.55€, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-0.582€ (+/-2.65%) up or down from last closing price. If Ubisoft Entertainment SA takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.29% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at 22.67€ (3.19%) than the support at 19.42€ (11.61%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Ubisoft Entertainment SA stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 1.224 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Ubisoft Entertainment SA of Monday, May 6, 2024
| Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| 22.17€ ( 0.91%) | 21.97€ |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for UBI.PA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 22.77 | 3.64 % | |
| R2 | 22.54 | 2.60 % | ||
| R1 | 22.40 | 1.95 % | ||
| Current price: | 21.97 | |||
| Support | S1 | 21.94 | -0.133 % | |
| S2 | 21.80 | -0.777 % | ||
| S3 | 21.57 | -1.82 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 23.65 | 7.65 % | |
| R2 | 23.57 | 7.28 % | ||
| R1 | 22.67 | 3.19 % | ||
| Current price | 21.97 | |||
| Support | S1 | 19.42 | -11.61% | |
| S2 | 19.18 | -12.72% | ||
| S3 | 18.97 | -13.65% |
FAQ
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