UBS AG Stock Forecast
About Chart
Golden Star
The Golden Star is a refined bullish signal based on the Golden Cross, developed by Jim Stromberg, incorporating additional time frame-specific moving averages and precise price line crossings. This signal is effective for liquid stocks, highlighting short-term upward momentum.
Death Star
The Death Star, developed by Jim Stromberg, is the bearish counterpart to the Golden Star, serving as a sell signal. It is triggered by specific moving average crossings on the price line, indicating a likely prolonged decline in the stock.
Golden Cross
The Golden Cross is a bullish signal where the short-term moving average crosses above the long-term moving average, indicating potential upward momentum.
Death Cross
The Death Cross is a bearish signal where the short-term moving average crosses below the long-term moving average, indicating potential downward momentum.
Pivot Bottom
A Pivot Bottom is a significant low point identified by algorithms developed by StockInvest.us. While it may indicate a short-term directional change, it does not necessarily imply a complete trend reversal. Pivot Bottoms are marked as green circles on the price line.
Pivot Top
A Pivot Top represents a significant high point identified by algorithms developed by StockInvest.us. Similar to Pivot Bottoms, it may suggest a short-term directional change within the main trend, rather than a full trend reversal. Pivot Tops are marked as red circles on the price line.
RSI Oversold
RSI oversold indicates that a stock has declined significantly and may be undervalued, potentially presenting a buying opportunity. This condition is marked by a green line on the chart but should be confirmed with other indicators before taking action.
RSI Overbought
RSI overbought suggests that a stock has risen rapidly and may be due for a pullback. It is marked by a red line on the chart, signaling increased risk. This doesn’t necessarily mean it’s time to sell, but it’s important to monitor closely.
Accumulated Volume
The bars indicate how much stock has been traded on each price during the chart period.
Buy Signal (MA)
Buy Signal from Moving Average: Indicates potential upward movement.
Sell Signal (MA)
Sell Signal from Moving Average: Indicates potential downward movement.
AI Analysis of UBS
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Green day on Friday for UBS AG
(Updated on Oct 04, 2024)
Buy or Hold candidate since Sep 26, 2024
Loss -0.39%
The UBS AG stock price gained 0.750% on the last trading day (Friday, 4th Oct 2024), rising from $30.66 to $30.89. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.782% from a day low at $30.69 to a day high of $30.93. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.31% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 15 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 870 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $26.88 million.
The stockis at the upper part of a wide and horizontal trend and normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but a break-up through the top trend line at $31.24 will give a strong buy signal and a trend shift could be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect UBS AG stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $27.88 and $31.18 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stock seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stock turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
UBS Signals & Forecast
The UBS AG stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $30.90. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $30.23. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, September 27, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.451%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for UBS AG stock
UBS AG finds support from accumulated volume at $30.15 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.240 between high and low, or 0.782%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.37%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $29.69 (-3.90%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 5 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (UBS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 7th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 7th we expect UBS AG to open at $30.84, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $30.36 and $31.42, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.533 (+/-1.72%) up or down from last closing price. If UBS AG takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.45% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $30.98 (0.29%) than the support at $30.15 (2.40%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is UBS AG stock A Buy?
UBS AG holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score:
0.324
Hold/Accumulate
Unchanged
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Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on October 7, 2024 - $30.84 ( 0.173%). The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.Trading levels for UBS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 31.08 | 0.604% |
| R2 | 30.98 | 0.307% |
| R1 | 30.93 | 0.124% |
| Price | 30.89 | |
| S1 | 30.74 | -0.469% |
| S2 | 30.69 | -0.653% |
| S3 | 30.60 | -0.95% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 31.03 | 0.453% |
| R2 | 31.01 | 0.388% |
| R1 | 30.98 | 0.291% |
| Price | 30.89 | |
| S1 | 30.15 | -2.40% |
| S2 | 28.63 | -7.32% |
| S3 | 27.97 | -9.45% |
UBS Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 06, 2024 | May 01, 2024 | May 03, 2024 | $0.228 | 0.84% |
| 2 | Feb 06, 2024 | Apr 30, 2024 | May 03, 2024 | $0.697 | 2.57% |
| 3 | Jan 31, 2023 | Apr 12, 2023 | Apr 14, 2023 | $0.550 | 2.51% |
| 4 | Feb 02, 2022 | Apr 12, 2022 | Apr 14, 2022 | $0.500 | 2.84% |
| 5 | Jan 27, 2021 | Apr 13, 2021 | Apr 15, 2021 | $0.370 | 2.33% |
FAQ
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