uCloudlink Group Inc. Stock Forecast
Is uCloudlink Group Inc. stock still a buy after falling -6.23% on Friday?
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The uCloudlink Group Inc. stock price fell by -6.23% on the last day (Friday, 3rd May 2024) from $1.53 to $1.43. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 8.07% from a day low at $1.43 to a day high of $1.54. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 8.33% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 7 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 9 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $12.39 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -8.02% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $1.19 and $1.54 at the end of this 3-month period.
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UCL Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 8.33%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The uCloudlink Group Inc. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $1.47 and $1.51. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. uCloudlink Group Inc. gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for uCloudlink Group Inc. stock
uCloudlink Group Inc. finds support from accumulated volume at $1.41 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.115 between high and low, or 8.07%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.74%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (UCL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect uCloudlink Group Inc. to open at $1.47, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $1.32 and $1.54, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.115 (+/-8.03%) up or down from last closing price. If uCloudlink Group Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 16.07% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $1.41 (1.40%) than the resistance at $1.57 (9.79%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is uCloudlink Group Inc. stock A Buy?
uCloudlink Group Inc. holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -3.196 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for uCloudlink Group Inc. of Monday, May 6, 2024
| Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $1.47 ( 2.45%) | $1.43 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for UCL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 1.58 | 10.49 % | |
| R2 | 1.54 | 7.42 % | ||
| R1 | 1.51 | 5.52 % | ||
| Current price: | 1.43 | |||
| Support | S1 | 1.42 | -0.624 % | |
| S2 | 1.39 | -2.52 % | ||
| S3 | 1.35 | -5.59 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 1.74 | 21.68 % | |
| R2 | 1.60 | 11.89 % | ||
| R1 | 1.57 | 9.79 % | ||
| Current price | 1.43 | |||
| Support | S1 | 1.41 | -1.40% | |
| S2 | 1.37 | -4.20% | ||
| S3 | 1.33 | -6.99% |
FAQ
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