United Fire Group Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Green day on Tuesday for United Fire Group
(Updated on May 07, 2024)
The United Fire Group stock price gained 0.516% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 7th May 2024), rising from $23.27 to $23.39. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.38% from a day low at $23.36 to a day high of $23.91. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 2.63% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 22 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 83 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.95 million.
The stock lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $23.94 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.34% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $20.09 and $22.91 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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UFCS Signals & Forecast
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The United Fire Group stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $22.70 and $22.06. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 05, 2024, and so far it has risen 9.35%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for United Fire Group stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $22.09 and $21.77. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, United Fire Group finds support just below today's level at $22.09. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $21.77 and $21.43.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.555 (2.38%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.50%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $22.18 (-5.17%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 22 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (UFCS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 8th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 8th we expect United Fire Group to open at $23.55, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $22.89 and $23.89, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.505 (+/-2.16%) up or down from last closing price. If United Fire Group takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.32% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $24.32 (3.98%) than the support at $22.09 (5.56%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
United Fire Group will release earnings AMC on Tuesday, May 07, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.550. We will update the financials statements for United Fire Group, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 9.11% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is United Fire Group stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 1.634 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for United Fire Group of Wednesday, May 8, 2024
Fair opening price May 8, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$23.55 ( 0.691%) | $23.39 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for UFCS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 24.11 | 3.06 % | |
R2 | 23.89 | 2.16 % | ||
R1 | 23.76 | 1.60 % | ||
Current price: | 23.39 | |||
Support | S1 | 23.34 | -0.215 % | |
S2 | 23.21 | -0.775 % | ||
S3 | 23.00 | -1.68 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 24.96 | 6.71 % | |
R2 | 24.76 | 5.86 % | ||
R1 | 24.32 | 3.98 % | ||
Current price | 23.39 | |||
Support | S1 | 22.09 | -5.56% | |
S2 | 21.77 | -6.93% | ||
S3 | 21.43 | -8.38% |
UFCS Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 07, 2024 | Mar 07, 2024 | Mar 22, 2024 | $0.160 | 0.735% |
2 | Nov 17, 2023 | Nov 30, 2023 | Dec 15, 2023 | $0.160 | 0.82% |
3 | Aug 18, 2023 | Aug 31, 2023 | Sep 15, 2023 | $0.160 | 0.81% |
4 | May 17, 2023 | Jun 01, 2023 | Jun 16, 2023 | $0.160 | 0.694% |
5 | Feb 24, 2023 | Mar 09, 2023 | Mar 24, 2023 | $0.160 | 0.607% |
FAQ
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