Umb Financial Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 14, 2025 Loss -4.07%

The UMB Financial Corporation stock price fell by -4.07% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $108.40 to $103.99. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.63% from a day low at $103.57 to a day high of $108.37. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.09% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 37 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 384 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $39.98 million.

The stock lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $101.92 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -12.42% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $89.26 and $99.03 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

UMBF Signals & Forecast

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The UMB Financial Corporation stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $108.61 and $112.20. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, October 24, 2025, and so far it has fallen -8.44%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, June 25, 2025 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for UMB Financial Corporation stock

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $4.80 (4.63%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.39%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (UMBF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect UMB Financial Corporation to open at $105.31, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $102.54 and $105.44, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.90 (+/-2.83%) up or down from last closing price. If UMB Financial Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.83% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $108.68, some $4.69 (4.51%) from the current price of $103.99, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.

Dividend Warning For UMBF

Dividend coming up for UMBF: Ex-dividend date (Wednesday 10th December, 2025) is 21 days away. The dividend is $0.430.

Is UMB Financial Corporation stock A Buy?

UMB Financial Corporation holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -3.750 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $105.31 ( 1.27%).

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