United Parcel Service Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Oct 24, 2025 Gain 8.29%

The United Parcel Service Inc stock price fell by -1.70% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from 83.08€ to 81.67€. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.70% from a day low at 80.62€ to a day high of 81.99€. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -0.4% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -364 shares and in total, 1 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately 92.21€ thousand.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 17.90% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between 92.04€ and 102.60€ at the end of this 3-month period.

UPAB.DE Signals & Forecast

The United Parcel Service Inc stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately 82.15€. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately 77.37€. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, October 29, 2025, and so far it has fallen -2.38%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for United Parcel Service Inc stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at 74.03€ and 71.65€. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, United Parcel Service Inc finds support just below today's level at 74.03€. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at 71.65€ and 71.34€.

This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved 1.37€ between high and low, or 1.70%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.63%.

Our recommended stop-loss: 78.07€ (-4.41%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 13 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (UPAB.DE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect United Parcel Service Inc to open at 81.43€, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 80.59€ and 82.75€, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-2.17€ (+/-2.69%) up or down from last closing price. If United Parcel Service Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.69% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at 82.00€ (0.40%) than the support at 74.03€ (9.35%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For UPAB.DE

Notice for UPAB.DE: Ex-dividend date was Monday 17th November, 2025. The dividend was 1.42€.

Is United Parcel Service Inc stock A Buy?

United Parcel Service Inc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: 0.001 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - 81.43€ ( 0.298%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk