Ultra Petroleum Corp Stock Forecast
High volatility in Ultra Petroleum Corp stock price on Tuesday which ended trading at £3.23
(Updated on Apr 30, 2024)
The Ultra Petroleum Corp stock price fell by -5.15% on the last day (Tuesday, 30th Apr 2024) from £3.40 to £3.23. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 10.98% from a day low at £3.15 to a day high of £3.50. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days but is still down by -19.38% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -31 million shares and in total, 24 million shares were bought and sold for approximately £76.71 million.
The stock lies in the lower part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at £2.95 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 16.04% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £3.43 and £5.56 at the end of this 3-month period.
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UPL.L Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Ultra Petroleum Corp stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at £3.98 and £3.62. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, April 10, 2024, and so far it has fallen -30.50%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Ultra Petroleum Corp stock
Ultra Petroleum Corp finds support from accumulated volume at £3.20 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved £0.346 between high and low, or 10.98%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 8.90%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (UPL.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 1st we expect Ultra Petroleum Corp to open at £3.29, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £2.82 and £3.63, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£0.405 (+/-12.57%) up or down from last closing price. If Ultra Petroleum Corp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 25.14% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at £3.20 (0.78%) than the resistance at £3.30 (2.33%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Ultra Petroleum Corp stock A Buy?
The Ultra Petroleum Corp stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Ultra Petroleum Corp will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -4.817 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Ultra Petroleum Corp of Wednesday, May 1, 2024
| Fair opening price May 1, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £3.29 ( 2.03%) | £3.23 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for UPL.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 3.64 | 12.75 % | |
| R2 | 3.50 | 8.66 % | ||
| R1 | 3.42 | 6.12 % | ||
| Current price: | 3.23 | |||
| Support | S1 | 3.16 | -2.07 % | |
| S2 | 3.08 | -4.60 % | ||
| S3 | 2.94 | -8.70 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 4.00 | 24.03 % | |
| R2 | 3.40 | 5.43 % | ||
| R1 | 3.30 | 2.33 % | ||
| Current price | 3.23 | |||
| Support | S1 | 3.20 | -0.775% | |
| S2 | 2.85 | -11.63% | ||
| S3 | 2.72 | -15.66% |
FAQ
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