Usd/czk Currency Pair Forecast

Hold candidate since Nov 17, 2025

The USD/CZK currency pair price gained 0.129% on the last trading day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025), rising from 20.78 Kč to 20.80 Kč. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 0.474% from a day low at 20.75 Kč to a day high of 20.85 Kč. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.33% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -93 thousand shares and in total, 38 shares were bought and sold for approximately 790.47 Kč . You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The currency pair is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect USD/CZK currency pair with a 90% probability to be traded between 20.58 Kč and 21.28 Kč at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and currency pair seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Currency pair turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

USDCZK Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, November 14, 2025, and so far it has risen 0.129%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The USD/CZK currency pair holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the currency pair. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at 20.88 Kč and 20.92 Kč. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may not be. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. The currency pair had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, October 06, 2025 in the short-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the currency pair in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for USD/CZK currency pair

USD/CZK finds support from accumulated volume at 20.75 Kč and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the currency pair During the last day, the currency pair moved 0.0983 Kč between high and low, or 0.474%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 0.631%

Our recommended stop-loss: 19.66 Kč (-5.51%) (This currency pair has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (USDCZK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect USD/CZK to open at 20.80 Kč, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 20.74 Kč and 20.86 Kč, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-0.125 Kč (+/-0.60%) up or down from last closing price. If USD/CZK takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.60% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at 20.85 Kč (0.23%) than the support at 20.75 Kč (0.27%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is USD/CZK currency pair A Buy?

USD/CZK holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this currency pair since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold candidate.

Current score: -0.571 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - 20.80 Kč ( 0.0037%).

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