- Bullish trend confirmed on both short and long timeframes
- Consistently positive technical signals over the last month
- RSI at 30 — potential oversold entry point
USD/CZK currency pair upgraded from Sell Candidate to Buy Candidate after Friday trading session
(Updated on Jul 31, 2026)
The USD/CZK currency pair price gained 0.167% on the last trading day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026), rising from 20.97 Kč to 21.01 Kč. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 0.698% from a day low at 20.97 Kč to a day high of 21.12 Kč. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.8% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 149 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 149 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately 3.13 Kč million.
The currency pair lies in the lower part of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at 20.98 Kč is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the currency pair is expected to rise 2.52% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between 21.51 Kč and 22.11 Kč at the end of this 3-month period.
USDCZK Signals & Forecast
The USD/CZK currency pair holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the currency pair. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at 21.14 Kč and 21.14 Kč. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, July 30, 2026, and so far it has risen 0.167%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. The currency pair had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, May 13, 2026 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Thursday, May 14, 2026.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the currency pair in question.
Golden Star
The currency pair had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, May 13, 2026 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Thursday, May 14, 2026.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the currency pair in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The currency pair had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, May 13, 2026 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Thursday, May 14, 2026.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the currency pair in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for USD/CZK currency pair
USD/CZK finds support from accumulated volume at 20.95 Kč and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this currency pair. During the last day, the currency pair moved 0.146 Kč between high and low, or 0.698%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 0.719%.
Our recommended stop-loss: 19.68 Kč (-6.34%) (This currency pair has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (USDCZK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect USD/CZK to open at 21.03 Kč, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 20.94 Kč and 21.07 Kč, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-0.132 Kč (+/-0.63%) up or down from last closing price. If USD/CZK takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.63% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at 20.95 Kč (0.27%) than the resistance at 21.10 Kč (0.45%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is USD/CZK currency pair A Buy?
Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this currency pair since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Buy candidate.
Current score:
1.714
Buy Candidate
Upgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - 21.03 Kč ( 0.121%).
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USDCZK Performance
Trading levels for USDCZK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 21.18 | 0.82% |
| R2 | 21.12 | 0.552% |
| R1 | 21.09 | 0.387% |
| Price | 21.01 | |
| S1 | 20.98 | -0.145% |
| S2 | 20.94 | -0.310% |
| S3 | 20.89 | -0.576% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 21.31 | 1.44% |
| R2 | 21.26 | 1.19% |
| R1 | 21.10 | 0.452% |
| Price | 21.01 | |
| S1 | 20.95 | -0.272% |
| S2 | 20.87 | -0.634% |
| S3 | 20.71 | -1.41% |
FAQ
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