Usd/hkd Currency Pair Forecast

Buy candidate since Nov 17, 2025

The USD/HKD currency pair price gained 0.0167% on the last trading day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025), rising from HK$7.77 to HK$7.77. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 0.0534% from a day low at HK$7.77 to a day high of HK$7.77. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.03% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 3 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 23 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$176.17 thousand.

The currency pair is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect USD/HKD currency pair with a 90% probability to be traded between HK$7.72 and HK$7.75 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and currency pair seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Currency pair turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners. Do note, that if the currency pair price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

USDHKD Signals & Forecast

Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The USD/HKD currency pair holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the currency pair, but the currency pair has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at HK$7.77 and HK$7.77. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, October 17, 2025, and so far it has risen 0.0977%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). USD/HKD has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk. The currency pair had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, November 13, 2025 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Thursday, May 08, 2025.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the currency pair in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for USD/HKD currency pair

USD/HKD finds support from accumulated volume at HK$7.77 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this currency pair. During the last day, the currency pair moved HK$0.0042 between high and low, or 0.0534%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 0.0533%.

Our recommended stop-loss: HK$7.30 (-6.10%) (This currency pair has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 22 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (USDHKD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect USD/HKD to open at HK$7.77, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$7.77 and HK$7.78, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$0.0042 (+/-0.05%) up or down from last closing price. If USD/HKD takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.05% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at HK$7.77 (0.00%) than the resistance at HK$7.78 (0.02%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is USD/HKD currency pair A Buy?

Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for USD/HKD currency pair to perform well in the short-term period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this currency pair since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 2.338 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - HK$7.77 ( 0.0118%).

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