USD/THB Currency Pair Forecast

USD/THB currency pair downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on May 31, 2024)

USDTHB Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, May 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.73%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The USD/THB currency pair holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the currency pair giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the currency pair will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at ฿36.72. On a fall, the currency pair will find some support from the short-term average at ฿36.64. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. USD/THB gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The currency pair had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, March 13, 2024 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Sunday, February 04, 2024.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the currency pair in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for USD/THB currency pair

USD/THB finds support from accumulated volume at ฿36.64 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the currency pair moved ฿0.660 between high and low, or 1.82%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 0.478%.

Our recommended stop-loss: ฿34.92 (-4.80%) (This currency pair has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 24 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (USDTHB) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect USD/THB to open at ฿36.58, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ฿36.45 and ฿36.92, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-฿0.238 (+/-0.65%) up or down from last closing price. If USD/THB takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.29% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at ฿36.71 (0.07%) than the support at ฿36.64 (0.12%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is USD/THB currency pair A Buy?

USD/THB holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this currency pair since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.

Predicted Opening Price for USD/THB of Monday, June 3, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.