Usd/try Currency Pair Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jul 17, 2025 Gain 17.23%

The USD/TRY currency pair price gained 0.147% on the last trading day (Thursday, 16th Jul 2026), rising from TRY 47.02 to TRY 47.09. It has now gained 10 days in a row. It is not often that currency pairs manage to gain so many days in a row, and falls for a day or two should be expected. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 0.538% from a day low at TRY 46.86 to a day high of TRY 47.11. The price has risen in 10 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.85% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 3 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 3 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately TRY 155.11 thousand.

The currency pair lies in the upper part of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at TRY 47.10 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the currency pair is expected to rise 5.11% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between TRY 49.39 and TRY 49.51 at the end of this 3-month period.

USDTRY Signals & Forecast

The USD/TRY currency pair holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the currency pair. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at TRY 46.97 and TRY 46.44. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, June 05, 2026, and so far it has risen 2.41%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. USD/TRY has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for USD/TRY currency pair

USD/TRY finds support from accumulated volume at TRY 45.87 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this currency pair. During the last day, the currency pair moved TRY 0.252 between high and low, or 0.538%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 0.560%.

Since the USD/TRY has been rising for 10 days in a row, the risk over the next couple of days has increased. We don't expect a major reaction as the currency pair is in very good shape technically, and therefore hold a positive evaluation despite the very short term risk.

Our recommended stop-loss: TRY 44.42 (-5.66%) (This currency pair has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 27 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (USDTRY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 17th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 17th we expect USD/TRY to open at TRY 47.02, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between TRY 46.99 and TRY 47.18, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-TRY 0.195 (+/-0.42%) up or down from last closing price. If USD/TRY takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.42% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ TRY 45.87, some TRY 1.22 (2.58%) from the current price of TRY 47.09, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is USD/TRY currency pair A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for USD/TRY currency pair to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 3.372 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 17, 2026 - TRY 47.02 ( 0.142%).

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