Usd/try Currency Pair Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Nov 22, 2024 Gain 22.52%

The USD/TRY currency pair price gained 0.273% on the last trading day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025), rising from TRY 42.19 to TRY 42.30. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 0.471% from a day low at TRY 42.14 to a day high of TRY 42.34. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.55% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -26 thousand shares and in total, 236 shares were bought and sold for approximately TRY 9.98 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The currency pair lies in the upper part of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at TRY 42.33 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the currency pair is expected to rise 3.45% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between TRY 43.59 and TRY 43.80 at the end of this 3-month period.

USDTRY Signals & Forecast

The USD/TRY currency pair holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the currency pair. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at TRY 42.21 and TRY 41.94. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, November 14, 2025, and so far it has risen 0.273%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may not be. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for USD/TRY currency pair

USD/TRY finds support from accumulated volume at TRY 42.01 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the currency pair During the last day, the currency pair moved TRY 0.198 between high and low, or 0.471%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 0.87%

Our recommended stop-loss: TRY 40.19 (-5.00%) (This currency pair has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (USDTRY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect USD/TRY to open at TRY 42.26, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between TRY 42.19 and TRY 42.42, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-TRY 0.231 (+/-0.55%) up or down from last closing price. If USD/TRY takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.55% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ TRY 42.01, some TRY 0.293 (0.69%) from the current price of TRY 42.30, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is USD/TRY currency pair A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for USD/TRY currency pair to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this currency pair since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 3.232 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - TRY 42.26 ( 0.103%).

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