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Weaker technical forecast for USCommodity 12 Month Oil as ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Nov 17, 2025)
The USCommodity 12 Month Oil ETF price fell by -0.145% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $34.52 to $34.47. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.537% from a day low at $34.47 to a day high of $34.66. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -1.37% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -3 thousand shares and in total, 1 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $43.64 thousand.
The ETF lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -5.74% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $30.67 and $33.10 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the ETF price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
USL Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The USCommodity 12 Month Oil ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $34.54 and $34.53. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, November 11, 2025, and so far it has fallen -2.21%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this ETF may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for USCommodity 12 Month Oil ETF
USCommodity 12 Month Oil finds support from accumulated volume at $34.31 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF During the last day, the ETF moved $0.185 between high and low, or 0.537%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.88%
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (USL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect USCommodity 12 Month Oil ETF to open at $34.53, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $34.23 and $34.71, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.488 (+/-1.42%) up or down from last closing price. If USCommodity 12 Month Oil ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.42% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $34.51 (0.10%) than the support at $34.31 (0.46%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is USCommodity 12 Month Oil ETF ETF A Buy?
USCommodity 12 Month Oil holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-2.813
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $34.53 ( 0.179%).
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USL Performance
Trading levels for USL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 34.72 | 0.716% |
| R2 | 34.65 | 0.511% |
| R1 | 34.60 | 0.384% |
| Price | 34.47 | |
| S1 | 34.46 | -0.0261% |
| S2 | 34.42 | -0.153% |
| S3 | 34.35 | -0.358% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 35.47 | 2.90% |
| R2 | 34.89 | 1.22% |
| R1 | 34.51 | 0.102% |
| Price | 34.47 | |
| S1 | 34.31 | -0.464% |
| S2 | 33.45 | -2.96% |
| S3 | 33.36 | -3.22% |
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