United States Cellular Corporation Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
United States Cellular Corporation stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Wednesday trading session.
(Updated on May 01, 2024)
The United States Cellular Corporation stock price fell by -0.0825% on the last day (Wednesday, 1st May 2024) from $36.36 to $36.33. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.65% from a day low at $36.12 to a day high of $37.08. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 6.85% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 60 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 200 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $7.28 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -9.34% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $26.65 and $36.05 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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USM Signals & Forecast
The United States Cellular Corporation stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $36.40. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $35.74. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, February 23, 2024, and so far it has risen 11.61%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for United States Cellular Corporation stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $34.48 and $33.15. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, United States Cellular Corporation finds support just below today's level at $34.48. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $33.15 and $32.96.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.96 (2.65%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.42%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $35.27 (-2.92%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 47 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (USM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 2nd
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 2nd we expect United States Cellular Corporation to open at $36.51, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $35.19 and $37.47, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.14 (+/-3.15%) up or down from last closing price. If United States Cellular Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.30% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $34.48 (5.09%) than the resistance at $41.70 (14.78%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
United States Cellular Corporation will release earnings BMO on Friday, May 03, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.260. We will update the financials statements for United States Cellular Corporation, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 7.73% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is United States Cellular Corporation stock A Buy?
United States Cellular Corporation holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.990 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for United States Cellular Corporation of Thursday, May 2, 2024
Fair opening price May 2, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$36.51 ( 0.493%) | $36.33 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for USM
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 37.47 | 3.13 % | |
R2 | 37.10 | 2.12 % | ||
R1 | 36.87 | 1.50 % | ||
Current price: | 36.33 | |||
Support | S1 | 36.14 | -0.514 % | |
S2 | 35.92 | -1.14 % | ||
S3 | 35.55 | -2.14 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 43.86 | 20.73 % | |
R2 | 41.72 | 14.84 % | ||
R1 | 41.70 | 14.78 % | ||
Current price | 36.33 | |||
Support | S1 | 34.48 | -5.09% | |
S2 | 33.15 | -8.75% | ||
S3 | 32.96 | -9.28% |
USM Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | May 17, 2013 | Jun 07, 2013 | Jun 25, 2013 | $5.75 | 17.18% |
FAQ
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