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VictoryShares USAA MSCI USA Small Cap ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Nov 17, 2025)
The VictoryShares USAA MSCI USA Small Cap ETF price fell by -1.74% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $89.10 to $87.55. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.18% from a day low at $87.30 to a day high of $89.20. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -1.68% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -6 thousand shares and in total, 37 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $3.26 million.
The ETF has broken the narrow and horizontal trend down. Breaks like this are often followed by swift and strong movements, and any correction down to the breakline at approximately $87.95 is considered to be a "second chance" to get out before further fall. It is, however, important to note that false breaks may appear and that the price may move back into the horizontal trend. A break on increasing volume is considered to be more significant and reliable than breaks on low volume.
USVM Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The VictoryShares USAA MSCI USA Small Cap ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $89.27 and $89.75. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, October 27, 2025, and so far it has fallen -3.75%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for VictoryShares USAA MSCI USA Small Cap ETF
VictoryShares USAA MSCI USA Small Cap finds support from accumulated volume at $86.34 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.90 between high and low, or 2.18%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.24%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (USVM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect VictoryShares USAA MSCI USA Small Cap Value Momentum ETF to open at $88.02, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $87.01 and $88.09, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.08 (+/-1.25%) up or down from last closing price. If VictoryShares USAA MSCI USA Small Cap Value Momentum ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.25% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $86.34 (1.38%) than the resistance at $89.31 (2.01%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is VictoryShares USAA MSCI USA Small Cap Value Momentum ETF ETF A Buy?
VictoryShares USAA MSCI USA Small Cap holds several negative signals and is within a narrow and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-2.656
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $88.02 ( 0.533%).
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USVM Performance
Trading levels for USVM
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 89.92 | 2.70% |
| R2 | 89.19 | 1.87% |
| R1 | 88.74 | 1.36% |
| Price | 87.55 | |
| S1 | 87.29 | -0.296% |
| S2 | 86.84 | -0.81% |
| S3 | 86.12 | -1.64% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 90.20 | 3.02% |
| R2 | 89.43 | 2.15% |
| R1 | 89.31 | 2.01% |
| Price | 87.55 | |
| S1 | 86.34 | -1.38% |
| S2 | 86.28 | -1.45% |
| S3 | 86.15 | -1.60% |
USVM Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nov 07, 2025 | Nov 07, 2025 | Nov 10, 2025 | $0.0347 | 0.0387% |
| 2 | Oct 08, 2025 | Oct 09, 2025 | Oct 10, 2025 | $0.220 | 0.251% |
| 3 | Sep 05, 2025 | Sep 08, 2025 | Sep 09, 2025 | $0.231 | 0.258% |
| 4 | Aug 05, 2025 | Aug 06, 2025 | Aug 07, 2025 | $0.0587 | 0.0703% |
| 5 | Jul 09, 2025 | Jul 10, 2025 | Jul 11, 2025 | $0.219 | 0.258% |
FAQ
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Buy USVM
A sell signal from a double top formation was found on Monday, October 27, 2025 and based on theory for this formation the price should fall by -0.610% to $87.02 within 16 trading days (Tuesday, November 18, 2025) since signal was issued.