Vanguard Materials Index Fund Etf Shares ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 03, 2026 Loss -2.64%

The Vanguard Materials Index Fund Shares ETF price fell by -2.58% on the last day (Friday, 5th Jun 2026) from $233.88 to $227.85. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.25% from a day low at $227.33 to a day high of $232.44. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0.55% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 20 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 56 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $12.86 million.

The ETF lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 4.56% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $230.32 and $254.11 at the end of this 3-month period.

VAW Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, May 19, 2026, and so far it has risen 2.92%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Vanguard Materials Index Fund Shares ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $232.53 and $232.12. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Materials Index Fund Shares ETF

Vanguard Materials Index Fund Shares finds support from accumulated volume at $227.32 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $5.12 between high and low, or 2.25%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.68%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $217.61 (-4.49%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 12 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (VAW) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 8th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 8th we expect Vanguard Materials Index Fund ETF Shares to open at $229.21, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $225.94 and $229.76, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.83 (+/-1.69%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Materials Index Fund ETF Shares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.69% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $227.32 (0.23%) than the resistance at $231.88 (1.77%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Vanguard Materials Index Fund ETF Shares ETF A Buy?

Vanguard Materials Index Fund Shares holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: -0.791 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 8, 2026 - $229.21 ( 0.595%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk