Vanguard Materials Index Fund Etf Shares ETF Forecast

Hold candidate since Jul 16, 2026

The Vanguard Materials Index Fund Shares ETF price gained 0.253% on the last trading day (Thursday, 16th Jul 2026), rising from $225.24 to $225.81. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.09% from a day low at $224.06 to a day high of $226.51. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -1.21% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 19 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 60 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $13.49 million.

The ETF lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -2.60% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $211.72 and $229.71 at the end of this 3-month period.

VAW Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, July 08, 2026, and so far it has risen 1.01%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Vanguard Materials Index Fund Shares ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $230.33. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $225.19. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Materials Index Fund Shares ETF

Vanguard Materials Index Fund Shares finds support from accumulated volume at $225.55 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $2.44 between high and low, or 1.09%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.48%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $212.27 (-6.00%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 6 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (VAW) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 17th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 17th we expect Vanguard Materials Index Fund ETF Shares to open at $225.46, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $223.87 and $227.75, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.87 (+/-1.73%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Materials Index Fund ETF Shares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.73% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $225.55 (0.12%) than the resistance at $231.88 (2.69%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Vanguard Materials Index Fund ETF Shares ETF A Buy?

Vanguard Materials Index Fund Shares holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold candidate.

Current score: -0.358 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 17, 2026 - $225.46 ( 0.156%).

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