Vanguard Materials Index Fund Etf Shares ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 06, 2025 Gain 0.27%

The Vanguard Materials Index Fund Shares ETF price fell by -1.58% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $195.80 to $192.70. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.79% from a day low at $192.32 to a day high of $195.77. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.51% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 21 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 52 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $10.07 million.

The ETF lies in the lower of a falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $190.84 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -5.73% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $179.90 and $189.64 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the ETF price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

VAW Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, November 06, 2025, and so far it has risen 0.273%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Vanguard Materials Index Fund Shares ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $196.55 and $200.25. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Materials Index Fund Shares ETF

Vanguard Materials Index Fund Shares finds support from accumulated volume at $192.26 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $3.45 (1.79%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.13%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (VAW) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Vanguard Materials Index Fund ETF Shares to open at $193.59, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $191.40 and $194.00, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.61 (+/-1.36%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Materials Index Fund ETF Shares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.36% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $192.26 (0.23%) than the resistance at $193.69 (0.51%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Vanguard Materials Index Fund ETF Shares ETF A Buy?

Vanguard Materials Index Fund Shares holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.

Current score: -2.934 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $193.59 ( 0.464%).

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