Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund Etf Shares ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 13, 2026

The Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index ETF price fell by -0.85% on the last day (Monday, 13th Jul 2026) from $395.75 to $392.40. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.55% from a day low at $391.15 to a day high of $397.23. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.98% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -153 thousand shares and in total, 45 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $17.75 million.

The ETF is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $379.64 and $405.15 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

VCR Signals & Forecast

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $394.39 and $392.75. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, July 01, 2026, and so far it has fallen -1.57%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index ETF

Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index finds support from accumulated volume at $390.35 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $6.08 between high and low, or 1.55%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.60%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (VCR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 14th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 14th we expect Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF Shares to open at $393.59, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $388.91 and $395.89, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$6.98 (+/-1.79%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF Shares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.79% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $390.35 (0.52%) than the resistance at $395.75 (0.85%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF Shares ETF A Buy?

Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -3.995 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 14, 2026 - $393.59 ( 0.304%).

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