Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund Etf Shares ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 17, 2025

The Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index ETF price fell by -1.06% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $379.75 to $375.73. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.01% from a day low at $374.00 to a day high of $381.53. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -5.91% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 9 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 46 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $17.26 million.

The ETF has broken the horizontal trend down. Breaks like this are often followed by swift and strong movements, and any correction down to the breakline at approximately $377.35 is considered to be a "second chance" to get out before further fall. It is, however, important to note that false breaks may appear and that the price may move back into the horizontal trend. A break on increasing volume is considered to be more significant and reliable than breaks on low volume.

VCR Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $386.73 and $390.78. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, November 03, 2025, and so far it has fallen -5.91%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index ETF

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the ETF may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $7.53 between high and low, or 2.01%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.64%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (VCR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF Shares to open at $377.09, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $372.38 and $379.08, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$6.70 (+/-1.80%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF Shares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.80% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $384.02, some $8.29 (2.21%) from the current price of $375.73, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.

Is Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF Shares ETF A Buy?

Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -2.987 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $377.09 ( 0.361%).

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