Velocity Financial, Inc. Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Red day on Friday for Velocity Financial, Inc.
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The Velocity Financial, Inc. stock price fell by -0.0577% on the last day (Friday, 3rd May 2024) from $17.34 to $17.33. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.09% from a day low at $16.97 to a day high of $18.00. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.21% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 7 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 26 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $450.39 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 7.29% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $17.48 and $20.51 at the end of this 3-month period.
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VEL Signals & Forecast
The Velocity Financial, Inc. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $17.08 and $17.15. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, April 18, 2024, and so far it has risen 7.91%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Velocity Financial, Inc. gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Velocity Financial, Inc. stock
Velocity Financial, Inc. finds support from accumulated volume at $17.15 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $1.03 (6.09%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.96%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $16.78 (-3.18%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 11 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (VEL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect Velocity Financial, Inc. to open at $17.43, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $16.61 and $18.05, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.722 (+/-4.17%) up or down from last closing price. If Velocity Financial, Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.33% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $17.15 (1.04%) than the resistance at $17.57 (1.38%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Velocity Financial, Inc. stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Velocity Financial, Inc. stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 3.785 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Velocity Financial, Inc. of Monday, May 6, 2024
| Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $17.43 ( 0.590%) | $17.33 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VEL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 18.47 | 6.55 % | |
| R2 | 18.07 | 4.27 % | ||
| R1 | 17.83 | 2.87 % | ||
| Current price: | 17.33 | |||
| Support | S1 | 17.04 | -1.69 % | |
| S2 | 16.79 | -3.09 % | ||
| S3 | 16.40 | -5.37 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 18.24 | 5.25 % | |
| R2 | 18.00 | 3.87 % | ||
| R1 | 17.57 | 1.38 % | ||
| Current price | 17.33 | |||
| Support | S1 | 17.15 | -1.04% | |
| S2 | 16.73 | -3.46% | ||
| S3 | 16.22 | -6.41% |
FAQ
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