Vanguard Intermediate -term Government Bond Etf ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Nov 04, 2025

The Vanguard Intermediate -Term Government ETF price gained 0.0500% on the last trading day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025), rising from $60.00 to $60.03. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.0898% from a day low at $60.00 to a day high of $60.06. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.1% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -1 million shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $105.62 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The ETF is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vanguard Intermediate -Term Government ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $60.18 and $60.93 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETF seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETF turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

VGIT Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, November 05, 2025, and so far it has risen 0.318%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Vanguard Intermediate -Term Government ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $60.08 and $60.17. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, October 09, 2025 in the short-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Intermediate -Term Government ETF

Vanguard Intermediate -Term Government finds support from accumulated volume at $60.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0539 between high and low, or 0.0898%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.174%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $56.61 (-5.70%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 8 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (VGIT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Vanguard Intermediate -Term Government Bond ETF to open at $60.03, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $59.96 and $60.10, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.146 (+/-0.24%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Intermediate -Term Government Bond ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.24% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $60.06 (0.05%) than the support at $60.00 (0.05%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Vanguard Intermediate -Term Government Bond ETF ETF A Buy?

Vanguard Intermediate -Term Government holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: 0.645 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $60.03 ( 0.0022%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk