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Weaker technical forecast for Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 as ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Nov 17, 2025)
The Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 ETF price fell by -2.19% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $108.76 to $106.38. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.65% from a day low at $106.06 to a day high of $108.87. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.1% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 17 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 85 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $9.04 million.
The ETF has broken the horizontal trend down. Breaks like this are often followed by swift and strong movements, and any correction down to the breakline at approximately $106.90 is considered to be a "second chance" to get out before further fall. It is, however, important to note that false breaks may appear and that the price may move back into the horizontal trend. A break on increasing volume is considered to be more significant and reliable than breaks on low volume.
VIOO Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $109.55 and $110.23. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, October 27, 2025, and so far it has fallen -5.67%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, June 20, 2025 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, June 20, 2025 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 ETF
Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 finds support from accumulated volume at $106.31 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $2.81 between high and low, or 2.65%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.74%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (VIOO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 ETF to open at $107.10, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $105.49 and $107.27, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.77 (+/-1.68%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.68% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $106.31 (0.07%) than the resistance at $108.78 (2.26%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 ETF ETF A Buy?
Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-2.476
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $107.10 ( 0.677%).
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VIOO Performance
Trading levels for VIOO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 109.91 | 3.32% |
| R2 | 108.84 | 2.31% |
| R1 | 108.17 | 1.69% |
| Price | 106.38 | |
| S1 | 106.03 | -0.332% |
| S2 | 105.36 | -0.96% |
| S3 | 104.29 | -1.96% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 110.21 | 3.60% |
| R2 | 109.72 | 3.14% |
| R1 | 108.78 | 2.26% |
| Price | 106.38 | |
| S1 | 106.31 | -0.0658% |
| S2 | 106.25 | -0.122% |
| S3 | 105.72 | -0.620% |
VIOO Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 29, 2024 | Dec 23, 2024 | Dec 26, 2024 | $1.57 | 1.46% |
| 2 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 20, 2023 | $1.46 | 1.50% |
| 3 | Dec 16, 2022 | Dec 20, 2022 | Dec 23, 2022 | $1.31 | 1.51% |
| 4 | Dec 17, 2021 | Dec 21, 2021 | Dec 27, 2021 | $1.22 | 1.15% |
| 5 | Dec 18, 2020 | Dec 22, 2020 | Dec 28, 2020 | $0.91 | 1.08% |
FAQ
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Buy VIOO
A sell signal from a double top formation was found on Monday, October 27, 2025 and based on theory for this formation the price should fall by -4.47% to $101.63 within 27 trading days (Thursday, December 04, 2025) since signal was issued.