Vivendi SA Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Vivendi SA stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on Jun 28, 2024)
No changes to the price of Vivendi SA stock on the last trading day (Friday, 28th Jun 2024). During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0% from a day low at $10.49 to a day high of $10.49. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -4.64% loss for the last 2 weeks.
The stock is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vivendi SA stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $9.82 and $10.74 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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VIVEF Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Vivendi SA stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $10.70. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $10.34. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, June 27, 2024, and so far it has fallen 0%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell on the last day without any changes to the price. This does not cause any direct divergence but may be an early warning and a possible "turning point". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
A buy signal from a double bottom formation was found on Monday, June 17, 2024 and based on theory for this formation the price should go up by 9.70% to $11.51 within 21 trading days since signal was issued (Thursday, July 18, 2024).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vivendi SA stock
Vivendi SA finds support from accumulated volume at $10.35 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock During the last day, the stock moved $0 between high and low, or 0%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 0%
Our recommended stop-loss: $10.02 (-4.48%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (VIVEF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 1st we expect Vivendi SA to open at $10.49, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $10.41 and $10.57, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0807 (+/-0.77%) up or down from last closing price. If Vivendi SA takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.54% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $10.35 (1.33%) than the resistance at $10.86 (3.49%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Vivendi SA stock A Buy?
Vivendi SA holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for Vivendi SA of Monday, July 1, 2024
| Fair opening price July 1, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $10.49 ( 0%) | $10.49 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VIVEF
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 10.49 | - |
| R2 | 10.49 | - |
| R1 | 10.49 | - |
| Price | 10.49 | |
| S1 | 10.49 | - |
| S2 | 10.49 | - |
| S3 | 10.49 | - |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 10.95 | 4.35% |
| R2 | 10.93 | 4.19% |
| R1 | 10.86 | 3.49% |
| Price | 10.49 | |
| S1 | 10.35 | -1.33% |
| S2 | 10.20 | -2.76% |
| S3 | 10.17 | -3.05% |
VIVEF Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 30, 2024 | Apr 30, 2024 | May 03, 2024 | $0.268 | 2.64% |
| 2 | Apr 25, 2023 | Apr 25, 2023 | Apr 25, 2023 | $0.276 | 2.62% |
| 3 | Apr 26, 2022 | Apr 26, 2022 | Apr 26, 2022 | $0.268 | 2.25% |
| 4 | Jun 23, 2021 | Jun 23, 2021 | Jun 23, 2021 | $0.717 | 2.17% |
| 5 | Apr 21, 2020 | Apr 21, 2020 | Apr 21, 2020 | $0.652 | 2.98% |
FAQ
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