Vivendi SE Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Red day on Friday for Vivendi SE
(Updated on Jun 14, 2024)
The Vivendi SE stock price fell by -4.98% on the last day (Friday, 14th Jun 2024) from $10.65 to $10.12. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.10% from a day low at $10.01 to a day high of $10.12. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -7.58% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 1 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 1 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $10.12 thousand.
The stock is at the lower part of a horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $10.09 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vivendi SE stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $10.10 and $11.08 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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VIVHY Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Vivendi SE stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $10.55 and $10.69. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 03, 2024, and so far it has fallen -8.58%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Vivendi SE gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, November 01, 2023 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, November 01, 2023 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vivendi SE stock
Vivendi SE finds support from accumulated volume at $10.09 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.110 between high and low, or 1.10%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.468%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $9.59 (-5.25%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 31 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (VIVHY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 17th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 17th we expect Vivendi SE to open at $10.08, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $9.95 and $10.29, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.173 (+/-1.71%) up or down from last closing price. If Vivendi SE takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.42% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $10.09 (0.30%) than the resistance at $10.69 (5.63%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Vivendi SE stock A Buy?
Vivendi SE holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for Vivendi SE of Monday, June 17, 2024
| Fair opening price June 17, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $10.08 ( 0.362%) | $10.12 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VIVHY
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 10.19 | 0.725% |
| R2 | 10.15 | 0.309% |
| R1 | 10.13 | 0.0529% |
| Price | 10.12 | |
| S1 | 10.04 | -0.778% |
| S2 | 10.02 | -1.03% |
| S3 | 9.97 | -1.45% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 11.07 | 9.39% |
| R2 | 10.83 | 6.98% |
| R1 | 10.69 | 5.63% |
| Price | 10.12 | |
| S1 | 10.09 | -0.296% |
| S2 | 0 | - |
| S3 | 0 | - |
VIVHY Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 01, 2024 | May 01, 2024 | May 23, 2024 | $0.270 | 2.49% |
| 2 | Jul 24, 2023 | Apr 25, 2023 | May 18, 2023 | $0.273 | 2.67% |
| 3 | Apr 23, 2022 | Apr 29, 2022 | May 12, 2022 | $0.271 | 2.39% |
| 4 | Oct 25, 2021 | Oct 29, 2021 | Oct 28, 2021 | $19.55 | 55.86% |
| 5 | Oct 01, 2021 | Oct 01, 2021 | Oct 01, 2021 | $29.60 | 83.86% |
FAQ
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