VanEck Vectors Vietnam ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Stronger technical forecast for VanEck Vectors Vietnam ETF price after Tuesday trading.
(Updated on Jun 18, 2024)
The VanEck Vectors Vietnam ETF price gained 0.474% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 18th Jun 2024), rising from $12.65 to $12.71. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.92% from a day low at $12.63 to a day high of $12.75. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.94% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 166 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 537 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $6.83 million.
The ETF lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $12.72 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -5.89% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $10.67 and $11.97 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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VNM Signals & Forecast
The VanEck Vectors Vietnam ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $12.77. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $12.69. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, May 20, 2024, and so far it has fallen -2.00%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for VanEck Vectors Vietnam ETF
VanEck Vectors Vietnam finds support from accumulated volume at $12.70 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.116 between high and low, or 0.92%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.84%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $12.10 (-4.82%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 41 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (VNM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 20th we expect VanEck Vectors Vietnam ETF to open at $12.69, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $12.56 and $12.86, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.153 (+/-1.21%) up or down from last closing price. If VanEck Vectors Vietnam ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.41% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $12.70 (0.08%) than the resistance at $12.82 (0.87%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is VanEck Vectors Vietnam ETF ETF A Buy?
VanEck Vectors Vietnam holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.407 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for VanEck Vectors Vietnam ETF of Thursday, June 20, 2024
| Fair opening price June 20, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $12.69 ( 0.120%) | $12.71 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VNM
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 12.81 | 0.791% |
| R2 | 12.77 | 0.443% |
| R1 | 12.74 | 0.228% |
| Price | 12.71 | |
| S1 | 12.65 | -0.468% |
| S2 | 12.62 | -0.683% |
| S3 | 12.58 | -1.03% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 13.64 | 7.32% |
| R2 | 12.95 | 1.89% |
| R1 | 12.82 | 0.87% |
| Price | 12.71 | |
| S1 | 12.70 | -0.0787% |
| S2 | 12.57 | -1.10% |
| S3 | 12.12 | -4.64% |
VNM Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dec 15, 2023 | Dec 27, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | $0.0190 | 0.151% |
| 2 | Dec 15, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | $0.111 | 0.88% |
| 3 | Dec 28, 2022 | Dec 28, 2022 | Dec 28, 2022 | $0.0030 | 0.0253% |
| 4 | Dec 16, 2022 | Dec 19, 2022 | Dec 23, 2022 | $0.111 | 0.91% |
| 5 | Dec 17, 2021 | Dec 20, 2021 | Dec 27, 2021 | $0.103 | 0.490% |
FAQ
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