Vanguard Mid-Cap Value Index Fund ETF Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for Vanguard Mid-Cap Value Index Fund as ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate.
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The Vanguard Mid-Cap Value Index Fund ETF price fell by -0.153% on the last day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024) from $150.31 to $150.08. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.520% from a day low at $150.02 to a day high of $150.80. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.64% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 24 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 276 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $41.35 million.
The ETF lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 5.56% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $156.12 and $167.43 at the end of this 3-month period.
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VOE Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The Vanguard Mid-Cap Value Index Fund ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $151.53. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $149.43. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 2.22%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, February 08, 2024 in the short-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, February 08, 2024 in the short-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Mid-Cap Value Index Fund ETF
Vanguard Mid-Cap Value Index Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $146.99 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.780 between high and low, or 0.520%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.02%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (VOE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Vanguard Mid-Cap Value Index Fund ETF Shares to open at $150.30, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $148.44 and $151.72, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.64 (+/-1.09%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Mid-Cap Value Index Fund ETF Shares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.19% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $150.37 (0.19%) than the support at $146.99 (2.06%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Vanguard Mid-Cap Value Index Fund ETF Shares ETF A Buy?
Vanguard Mid-Cap Value Index Fund holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.064 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Vanguard Mid-Cap Value Index Fund ETF Shares of Monday, April 29, 2024
Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$150.30 ( 0.147%) | $150.08 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VOE
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 151.08 | 0.666 % | |
R2 | 150.78 | 0.468 % | ||
R1 | 150.60 | 0.345 % | ||
Current price: | 150.08 | |||
Support | S1 | 150.00 | -0.0519 % | |
S2 | 149.82 | -0.175 % | ||
S3 | 149.52 | -0.373 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 152.45 | 1.58 % | |
R2 | 152.04 | 1.31 % | ||
R1 | 150.37 | 0.193 % | ||
Current price | 150.08 | |||
Support | S1 | 146.99 | -2.06% | |
S2 | 143.87 | -4.14% | ||
S3 | 142.71 | -4.91% |
VOE Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 26, 2024 | $0.733 | 0.481% |
2 | Dec 21, 2023 | Dec 21, 2023 | Dec 21, 2023 | $1.11 | 0.776% |
3 | Mar 15, 2023 | Sep 21, 2023 | Sep 26, 2023 | $0.722 | 0.552% |
4 | Mar 15, 2023 | Jun 23, 2023 | Jun 28, 2023 | $0.764 | 0.562% |
5 | Mar 15, 2023 | Mar 23, 2023 | Mar 28, 2023 | $0.694 | 0.536% |
FAQ
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