Vanguard Mid-Cap Value Index Fund ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Vanguard Mid-Cap Value Index Fund ETF upgraded to Buy Candidate.
(Updated on May 09, 2024)
The Vanguard Mid-Cap Value Index Fund ETF price gained 1.02% on the last trading day (Thursday, 9th May 2024), rising from $152.47 to $154.02. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.04% from a day low at $152.43 to a day high of $154.02. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.47% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -5 thousand shares and in total, 231 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $35.65 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 2.79% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $152.14 and $162.36 at the end of this 3-month period.
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VOE Signals & Forecast
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The Vanguard Mid-Cap Value Index Fund ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $151.40 and $151.38. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 4.90%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, May 03, 2024 in the short-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, May 03, 2024 in the short-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Mid-Cap Value Index Fund ETF
Vanguard Mid-Cap Value Index Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $146.99 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.59 between high and low, or 1.04%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.692%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $146.74 (-4.73%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 17 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (VOE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 10th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 10th we expect Vanguard Mid-Cap Value Index Fund ETF Shares to open at $153.49, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $152.47 and $155.57, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.55 (+/-1.01%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Mid-Cap Value Index Fund ETF Shares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.02% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $154.73 (0.46%) than the support at $146.99 (4.56%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Vanguard Mid-Cap Value Index Fund ETF Shares ETF A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Vanguard Mid-Cap Value Index Fund ETF to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.313 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Vanguard Mid-Cap Value Index Fund ETF Shares of Friday, May 10, 2024
Fair opening price May 10, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$153.49 ( 0.344%) | $154.02 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VOE
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 155.08 | 0.688 % | |
R2 | 154.47 | 0.294 % | ||
R1 | 154.10 | 0.0502 % | ||
Current price: | 154.02 | |||
Support | S1 | 152.88 | -0.738 % | |
S2 | 152.51 | -0.98 % | ||
S3 | 151.90 | -1.38 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 155.91 | 1.23 % | |
R2 | 155.07 | 0.682 % | ||
R1 | 154.73 | 0.461 % | ||
Current price | 154.02 | |||
Support | S1 | 146.99 | -4.56% | |
S2 | 145.50 | -5.53% | ||
S3 | 142.71 | -7.34% |
VOE Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 26, 2024 | $0.733 | 0.481% |
2 | Dec 21, 2023 | Dec 21, 2023 | Dec 21, 2023 | $1.11 | 0.776% |
3 | Mar 15, 2023 | Sep 21, 2023 | Sep 26, 2023 | $0.722 | 0.552% |
4 | Mar 15, 2023 | Jun 23, 2023 | Jun 28, 2023 | $0.764 | 0.562% |
5 | Mar 15, 2023 | Mar 23, 2023 | Mar 28, 2023 | $0.694 | 0.536% |
FAQ
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