Volkswagen AG Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since May 08, 2025 Gain 4.74%

The Volkswagen AG stock price gained 0.630% on the last trading day (Thursday, 15th May 2025), rising from 103.15€ to 103.80€. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.17% from a day low at 102.90€ to a day high of 104.10€. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 8.76% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -191 thousand shares and in total, 798 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately 82.87€ million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at 104.60€ will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -9.10% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between 72.56€ and 95.08€ at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

VOW3.DE Signals & Forecast

The Volkswagen AG stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at 101.08€ and 94.58€. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, May 13, 2025, and so far it has fallen -1.10%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Volkswagen AG stock

Volkswagen AG finds support from accumulated volume at 101.45€ and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved 1.20€ between high and low, or 1.17%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.25%.

Our recommended stop-loss: 100.15€ (-3.51%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (VOW3.DE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 16th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 16th we expect Volkswagen AG to open at 103.60€, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 100.90€ and 106.70€, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-2.90€ (+/-2.79%) up or down from last closing price. If Volkswagen AG takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.59% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at 104.95€ (1.11%) than the support at 101.45€ (2.26%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For VOW3.DE

Dividend warning for VOW3.DE: Ex-dividend date is approaching in 2 days on Monday 19th May, 2025. The dividend to be paid is 6.36€, which is a very large dividend (6.13%). The stock is expected to open approximately 6.13% lower on the ex-dividend date.

Is Volkswagen AG stock A Buy?

Volkswagen AG holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: -0.423 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

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Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on May 16, 2025 - 103.60€ ( 0.193%).